Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA BAYERN - ROUND 34

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday


	Illertissen		Pipinsried

	1	X	2
	1.15	7.25	10.5
	1.14	6.5	14
	1.18	7.09	14.43
	1.16	7.4	13.25
	1.15	7.2	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.41)	7.09 ↑ (4.32)	12.84 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illertissen
79.8%

Draw
13%

Pipinsried
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

20.8%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

13.9%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Illertissen's performance.

Pipinsried has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pipinsried might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (-37.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Illertissen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pipinsried than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pipinsried could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Illertissen - Pipinsried Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Illertissen won 4.

Recent matches Illertissen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pipinsried has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Illertissen is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Illertissen won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Illertissen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
23.04.23	Nürnberg II - Illertissen	1:1 ✺
14.04.23	Illertissen - Hankofen-Hailing	4:1 ✺
10.04.23	Würzburger Kickers - Illertissen	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Illertissen - Aubstadt	1:3 ✺
25.03.23	Greuther Fürth II - Illertissen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWTLL
- FC Pipinsried
German Regionalliga Bayern
21.04.23	Pipinsried - Buchbach	1:3 ✺
15.04.23	Schweinfurt - Pipinsried	5:1 ✺
10.04.23	Pipinsried - Unterhaching	1:8 ✺
06.04.23	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Pipinsried	4:1 ✺
28.03.23	Pipinsried - Nürnberg II	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
03.10.22	Pipinsried - Illertissen	0:3
05.03.22	Illertissen - Pipinsried	1:0
17.08.21	Pipinsried - Illertissen	1:4
09.03.19	Illertissen - Pipinsried	4:0
18.08.18	Pipinsried - Illertissen	1:1
21.04.18	Illertissen - Pipinsried	0:0
14.10.17	Pipinsried - Illertissen	1:1

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