Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 26Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday
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Illescas |
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Marchamalo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.15 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
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 |
2.15 |
3.23 |
3.23 |
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2.02 |
3.39 |
3.42 |
 Watch |
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2.15 |
3 |
3.1 |
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2.12 |
3.14 |
3.21 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.18) |
3.17 ↓
(3.2) |
3.21 ↑
(3.14) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Illescas
43% | Draw
28.7% | Marchamalo
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)Illescas - Marchamalo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Chaves A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 79', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 10).Illescas has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).Marchamalo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Illescas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Illescas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).Including home match between the teams, Illescas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Illescas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
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| 7 | Marchamalo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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