Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 29Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday
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Cazalegas |
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Illescas |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
5.5 |
3.35 |
1.58 |
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 |
5.52 |
3.54 |
1.59 |
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5.55 |
3.57 |
1.6 |
 Watch |
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5 |
3.4 |
1.6 |
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5.21 |
3.75 |
1.64 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.36 ↑
(4.05) |
3.52 ↑
(3.4) |
1.6 ↓
(1.82) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cazalegas
17.1% | Draw
25.9% | Illescas
57% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cazalegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cazalegas's form might have worsened.Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illescas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cazalegas than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cazalegas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illescas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Cazalegas - Illescas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).Recent form of Cazalegas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Illescas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Cazalegas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Illescas is the team to beat.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cazalegas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Illescas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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