The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Illescas 68.5%
Draw 20%
Miguelturreño 11.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.2%
19.1%
11.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
80.2%
16.5%
10%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Miguelturreño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illescas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguelturreño than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Illescas - Miguelturreño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Illescas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Miguelturreño has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Illescas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.