Match Info

Kansallinen Liiga Women - Relegation Group

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Ilves		Jyväskylän PK

	1	X	2
	1.03	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.45	4.15	5.95
	1.49	4.31	5.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.79)	3.15 ↓ (3.8)	4.2 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
57.6%

Draw
24.2%

Jyväskylän PK
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

24.2%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23.6%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilves's performance.

Jyväskylän PK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jyväskylän PK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jyväskylän PK than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jyväskylän PK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ilves - Jyväskylän PK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Maki-Kamppi V. (G) 21. Ahonen H. 2. Hakola L. 3. Italinna E. 19. Kallio I. 11. Lahteenmaki L. 88. Laine S. 8. Ljesnjanin A. 13. Luotonen A. 22. Olmala H. 14. Rasinen A. (C)	26. Leivonen N. (C) 2. Haikala V. 24. Husu N. 8. Juttula N. 72. Kangasniemi A. 85. Leiwo S. 9. Puolakka L. 3. Salo S. 33. Sarlin M. 10. Tahtisaari N. 93. Varjoranta A.
Substitutes
67. Abe M. 27. Hertteli P. 41. Jamsa M. 7. Koivisto J. 1. Korpi J. 15. Lyonga C. 23. Mikkola R.-T. 39. Mikkonen O. 10. Orava M.	22. Autti P. 12. Halttunen A. 21. Karjalainen M. (G) 36. Mihari I. 27. Sallinen O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Lahteenmaki L. ⚽,
4', 2 - 0, (Own goal),
9', 2 - 1, Juttula N. ⚽,
10', 3 - 1, Rasinen A. ⚽,
18', 4 - 1, Lahteenmaki L. ⚽,
24', 5 - 1, Laine S. ⚽,
24', Varjoranta A. ↓, Autti P. ↑,
43', Olmala H. 🟨,
44', Sarlin M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Leiwo S. ↓, Halttunen A. ↑,
58', Rasinen A. ↓, Abe M. ↑,
69', Juttula N. ↓, Sallinen O. ↑,
69', Tahtisaari N. ↓, Mihari I. ↑,
75', Olmala H. ↓, Mikkonen O. ↑,
75', Lahteenmaki L. ↓, Jamsa M. ↑,
75', Ljesnjanin A. ↓, Mikkola R.-T. ↑,
86', Luotonen A. ↓, Hertteli P. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

JYPK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ilves is seen as the favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ilves Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
24.09.25	Ilves - Esbo Bollklubb	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	PK-35 Helsinki - Ilves	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Ilves - HJK Akatemia	4:0 ✺
05.09.25	Ilves - KTP	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Jyväskylän PK - Ilves	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWW
- Jyväskylän PK
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
24.09.25	Jyväskylän PK - HJK Akatemia	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Esbo Bollklubb - Jyväskylän PK	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Jyväskylän PK - Ilves	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	HJK Akatemia - Jyväskylän PK	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Jyväskylän PK - PK-35 Vantaa	1:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
30.08.25	Jyväskylän PK - Ilves	0:1
19.09.24	Ilves - Jyväskylän PK	0:2
10.08.24	Ilves - Jyväskylän PK	0:0
18.05.24	Jyväskylän PK - Ilves	0:0
Finnish Cup Women
05.08.23	Jyväskylän PK - Ilves	1:2
12.03.22	Ilves - Jyväskylän PK	3:2 penalties
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
06.10.21	Jyväskylän PK - Ilves	0:2

Ilves - Jyväskylän PK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide