Match Info

Kansallinen Liiga Women - Relegation Group

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Viitaniemi TN (Jyväskylä)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Jyväskylän PK		Ilves

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.75	2.35
	2.72	3.74	2.21	Watch
	2.58	3.48	2.3
	2.4	3.75	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.05)	3.68 ↓ (3.96)	2.29 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jyväskylän PK
36.1%

Draw
24.5%

Ilves
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

23%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

23.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jyväskylän PK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jyväskylän PK's form might have worsened.

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilves's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jyväskylän PK than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jyväskylän PK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jyväskylän PK - Ilves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Leivonen N. (C) 17. Bulgakova V. 2. Haikala V. 24. Husu N. 8. Juttula N. 80. Leiwo S. 36. Mihari I. 11. Pitko N. 9. Puolakka L. 3. Salo S. 33. Sarlin M.	31. Maki-Kamppi V. (G) 67. Abe M. 2. Hakola L. 3. Italinna E. 40. Juvonen K. 11. Lahteenmaki L. 88. Laine S. 8. Ljesnjanin A. 22. Olmala H. 10. Orava M. 14. Rasinen A. (C)
Substitutes
22. Autti P. 21. Karjalainen M. (G) 27. Sallinen O. 93. Varjoranta A. 20. Wusu A.	21. Ahonen H. 15. Baasousi Y. 41. Jamsa M. 19. Kallio I. 7. Koivisto J. 1. Korpi J. 13. Luotonen A. 39. Mikkonen O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, Olmala H. ⚽,
65', Husu N. ↓, Varjoranta A. ↑,
69', Hakola L. ↓, Kallio I. ↑,
69', Lahteenmaki L. ↓, Ahonen H. ↑,
74', Bulgakova V. ↓, Wusu A. ↑,
80', Orava M. ↓, Mikkonen O. ↑,
81', Olmala H. ↓, Luotonen A. ↑,
84', Leiwo S. ↓, Sallinen O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYPK won 1.

Recent form of JYPK has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ilves's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ilves has had a series of home games.

JYPK could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, JYPK won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, JYPK won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jyväskylän PK
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
24.08.25	HJK Akatemia - Jyväskylän PK	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Jyväskylän PK - PK-35 Vantaa	1:10 ✺
02.08.25	Åland United - Jyväskylän PK	5:1 ✺
26.07.25	Jyväskylän PK - HJK	0:5 ✺
17.07.25	KuPS - Jyväskylän PK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL
- FC Ilves Women
Finnish Cup Women
20.08.25	Ilves - Åland United	2:5 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen Women
09.08.25	Ilves - RoPS	2:0 ✺
Finnish Cup Women
30.07.25	Ilves - KuPS	4:3 ET ✺
Finnish Ykkonen Women
26.07.25	Esbo Bollklubb - Ilves	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Ilves - PKKU	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
19.09.24	Ilves - Jyväskylän PK	0:2
10.08.24	Ilves - Jyväskylän PK	0:0
18.05.24	Jyväskylän PK - Ilves	0:0
Finnish Cup Women
05.08.23	Jyväskylän PK - Ilves	1:2
12.03.22	Ilves - Jyväskylän PK	3:2 penalties
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
06.10.21	Jyväskylän PK - Ilves	0:2
29.09.21	Ilves - Jyväskylän PK	2:2

Jyväskylän PK - Ilves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide