Match Info

Kansallinen Liiga Women - Relegation Group

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Ilves		KTP

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.65
	2.12	3.73	2.89	Watch
	2.1	3.89	2.87
	2.1	3.6	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.26)	3.71 ↓ (3.9)	2.77 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
42.8%

Draw
24.5%

KTP
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

23.3%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

22.5%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

KTP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Ilves - KTP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Maki-Kamppi V. (G) 67. Abe M. 21. Ahonen H. 2. Hakola L. 3. Italinna E. 40. Juvonen K. (C) 11. Lahteenmaki L. 88. Laine S. 8. Ljesnjanin A. 22. Olmala H. 10. Orava M.	1. McClellan E. (G) 17. Byrne K. 11. Crichton C. 6. Jantti C. 23. Keto V. 16. Laiho E. 10. Leppioja J. 12. Oljemark E. 18. Paivahonka R. (C) 9. Savolainen N. 2. Turkia P.
Substitutes
41. Jamsa M. 19. Kallio I. 7. Koivisto J. 1. Korpi J. 16. Laakso M. 13. Luotonen A. 33. Makynen N. 39. Mikkonen O.	5. Eriksson A. 21. Eskola I. 3. Hamalainen E. 13. Koota V. 8. Mutikainen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Ljesnjanin A. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Olmala H. ⚽, Laine S. (A),
42', Turkia P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Keto V. ↓, Koota V. ↑,
46', Leppioja J. ↓, Mutikainen J. ↑,
46', Paivahonka R. ↓, Hamalainen E. ↑,
46', Orava M. ↓, Luotonen A. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Savolainen N. ⚽, Byrne K. (A),
62', Lahteenmaki L. ↓, Kallio I. ↑,
62', Laiho E. ↓, Eriksson A. ↑,
66', Hakola L. ↓, Mikkonen O. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Luotonen A. ⚽,
80', Oljemark E. ↓, Eskola I. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

KTP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, KTP has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ilves Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
30.08.25	Jyväskylän PK - Ilves	0:1 ✺
Finnish Cup Women
20.08.25	Ilves - Åland United	2:5 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen Women
09.08.25	Ilves - RoPS	2:0 ✺
Finnish Cup Women
30.07.25	Ilves - KuPS	4:3 ET ✺
Finnish Ykkonen Women
26.07.25	Esbo Bollklubb - Ilves	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWWL
- KTP Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
23.08.25	PK-35 Helsinki - KTP	0:0 ✺
Finnish Cup Women
19.08.25	KTP - HJK	0:3 ✺
06.08.25	Valtti - KTP	0:2 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen Women
29.07.25	HJK Akatemia - KTP	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Honka - KTP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWLW

Ilves - KTP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide