Match Info

Kakkonen Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere) 🌤️ ...


	Ilves 2		Huima Urho

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.75	5.00
	1.37	5.25	4.90
	1.40	5.20	5.60
	1.36	5.6	5.5
	1.38	4.95	5.10
	1.44	5.66	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (2.32)	5.24 ↑ (4.3)	5.28 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves 2
65.3%

Draw
17.4%

Huima Urho
17.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.9%

21.5%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

20.9%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilves 2's performance.

Huima Urho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Huima Urho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves 2 than the current prediction. (-24.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilves 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huima Urho than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huima Urho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ilves 2 - Huima Urho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Husu N. (G) 36. Aho R. 37. Kouakou F. 39. Laaksonen M. 95. Lehtomaki V. 73. Rasanen A. (C) 99. Rautavirta R. 84. Sacko Y. 35. Suvanne S. 74. Syrjanen S. 45. Tamminen E.	67. Pasoja J. (G) 24. Liimatainen M. 75. Nurmi D. 74. Ronka J. 15. Ronka S. 76. Rutanen L. 2. Saarikko J. 8. Suutari S. (C) 27. Torma T. 4. Voikar L. 18. Ylonen A.
Substitutes
90. Ala-Nikkola N. 53. Coulibaly H. 38. Halonen R. 42. Lehtonen L. 97. Ljungqvist A. (G) 75. Niskanen O. 51. Riissanen J. 72. Sinkkila A. 44. Toivonen J.	9. Duka M. 7. Hautanen J. 22. Ikaheimo S. (G) 45. Lampila K. 78. Norontaus A. 23. Sumanen O. 20. Traore B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Laaksonen M. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Laaksonen M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tamminen E. ↓, Coulibaly H. ↑,
60', Suvanne S. ↓, Ala-Nikkola N. ↑,
60', Sacko Y. ↓, Halonen R. ↑,
65', 3 - 0, Lehtonen L. ⚽,
65', Liimatainen M. ↓, Lampila K. ↑,
69', Torma T. 🟨,
74', Rutanen L. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
74', Ronka J. ↓, Duka M. ↑,
74', Saarikko J. ↓, Hautanen J. ↑,
79', Halonen R. 🟨,
81', Nurmi D. ↓, Sumanen O. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Lampila K. ⚽,
84', Lehtomaki V. ↓, Sinkkila A. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Ilves 2 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Ilves 2 - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.9%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ilves 2
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
19.09.26	Espoon Palloseura - Ilves 2	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Ilves 2 - Honka	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Ilves 2 - P-Iirot Rauma	6:1 ✺
02.09.26	HJS - Ilves 2	1:5 ✺
28.08.26	Åbo IFK - Ilves 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWL
- Huima Urho
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
19.09.26	Huima Urho - GBK Kokkola	3:5 ✺
12.09.26	Jaro 2 - Huima Urho	0:6 ✺
06.09.26	Huima Urho - Närpes	5:0 ✺
02.09.26	JBK - Huima Urho	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Huima Urho - VPS 2	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWTW

Ilves 2 - Huima Urho