Match Info

Date: 23 June 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kaupin urheilupuisto (Tampere) 🌤️ ...


	Ilves 2		Kaarinan Pojat

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	4.8
	1.55	4.3	4.1
	1.47	4.2	4.7
	1.54	5.13	4.86
	1.6	3.75	4.2
	1.51	4.55	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.86)	4.38 ↑ (4)	4.59 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves 2
59.5%

Draw
20.8%

Kaarinan Pojat
19.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.4%

23.4%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

22.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilves 2's performance.

Kaarinan Pojat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kaarinan Pojat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves 2 than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilves 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaarinan Pojat than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaarinan Pojat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Ilves 2 - Kaarinan Pojat Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ilves 2 will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). KaaPo will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ilves 2: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilves won 3.

Ilves is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

KaaPo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ilves is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ilves won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Ilves won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ilves 2
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
19.06.22	Ilves 2 - Honka Akatemia	0:2 ✺
11.06.22	Salon Palloilijat - Ilves 2	1:2 ✺
05.06.22	Ilves 2 - MuSa	1:1 ✺
29.05.22	Ilves 2 - Jazz Pori	1:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
25.05.22	Oulu - Ilves 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTLL
- Kaarinan Pojat
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
18.06.22	Kaarinan Pojat - HJS	1:2 ✺
11.06.22	VJS Vantaa - Kaarinan Pojat	1:1 ✺
03.06.22	Kaarinan Pojat - Ilves-Kissat	0:6 ✺
30.05.22	MuSa - Kaarinan Pojat	4:1 ✺
14.05.22	Salon Palloilijat - Kaarinan Pojat	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group B
22.08.21	Kaarinan Pojat - Ilves 2	3:1
04.06.21	Ilves 2 - Kaarinan Pojat	2:3
27.06.20	Ilves 2 - Kaarinan Pojat	Canceled
27.06.20	Kaarinan Pojat - Ilves 2	2:3
18.10.19	Kaarinan Pojat - Ilves 2	0:2
10.08.19	Ilves 2 - Kaarinan Pojat	3:2
30.05.19	Kaarinan Pojat - Ilves 2	3:0

Ilves 2 - Kaarinan Pojat