Match Info

J2 League - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arigato Service Dream (Imabari) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	13:00	K-Ball
Japan	14:00	DAZN Japan


	Imabari		Vanraure Hachinohe

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.10	3.10
	2.25	3.10	2.80
	2.43	3.10	2.75	Watch
	2.42	3.36	3.11
	2.36	3.3	2.96	Watch
	2.30	3.30	3.00
	2.29	3.16	3.16	Watch
	2.34	3.20	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.38)	3.2 ↑ (3.19)	2.98 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imabari
39.9%

Draw
29%

Vanraure Hachinohe
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.6%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28.2%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imabari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Vanraure Hachinohe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanraure Hachinohe than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Imabari - Vanraure Hachinohe Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Yamamoto T. (G) 15. Kikuchi K. 35. Kushibiki K. 99. Gabriel Gomes 2. Umeki R. 22. Abe H. 14. Komai Y. (C) 6. Kajiura Y. 8. Mori K. 10. Junio E. 11. Wesley Tanque	25. Taniguchi Y. (G) 11. Yukie H. 15. Sasaki K. 3. Sawada Y. 6. Unoki F. 34. Takayoshi S. (C) 17. Sato Y. 8. Otoizumi S. 7. Sato A. 80. Nagata K. 35. Owie W.
Substitutes
19. Furuyama K. 9. Kondo T. 29. Maruyama Y. 17. Mochii K. 26. Palocevic A. 3. Son T. 1. Tachikawa K. (G) 38. Umakoshi H. 7. Yamada T.	33. Igari Y. 30. Inami Y. 24. Kurisawa R. 99. Nakano S. 29. Oka K. 13. Onishi S. (G) 10. Sawakami R. 88. Shintani M. 4. Suzuki S.
Coaches
Kuboyama Y.	Kuraishi K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Junio E. ⚽, Wesley Tanque (A),
31', Abe H. 🟨,
40', Owie W. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Otoizumi S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Yukie H. ↓, Suzuki S. ↑,
46', Abe H. ↓, Palocevic A. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Owie W. (Penalty Awarded),
54', Palocevic A. 🟨,
56', Wesley Tanque ↓, Mochii K. ↑,
59', 1 - 3, Unoki F. ⚽,
63', Sato A. ↓, Sawakami R. ↑,
69', 2 - 3, Junio E. ⚽,
77', Komai Y. ↓, Furuyama K. ↑,
82', Sato Y. ↓, Igari Y. ↑,
83', Owie W. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
87', Mori K. 🟨,
88', Nagata K. ↓, Oka K. ↑,
90', Mori K. ↓, Kondo T. ↑,
90', Kajiura Y. ↓, Yamada T. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 3, Junio E. ⚽, Palocevic A. (A),

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 17th and 19th in the Relegation - J3 League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Imabari won 5.

Imabari has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Vanraure is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Imabari has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Imabari has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:7 (averaging 1.5:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Imabari against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 10:2 goals (averaging 2:0.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Vanraure	13	4	2	7	10:22	-12	14
19	Imabari	13	3	2	8	15:26	-11	11

Last Results with these Odds

Vanraure Hachinohe - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 32.93%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Imabari
Japan J2 League
10.10.26	Tokushima Vortis - Imabari	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Tochigi City - Imabari	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Imabari - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Imabari	4:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
19.09.26	Yokohama FC - Imabari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLLL
- Vanraure Hachinohe
Japan J2 League
10.10.26	Omiya Ardija - Vanraure Hachinohe	3:1 ✺
04.10.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Yokohama FC	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Júbilo Iwata - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Shonan Bellmare	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
07.06.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Imabari	1:2 penalties
Japan J3 League
28.09.24	Imabari - Vanraure Hachinohe	3:1
14.04.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Imabari	0:1
23.09.23	Imabari - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:0
04.05.23	Vanraure Hachinohe - Imabari	0:1
20.11.22	Vanraure Hachinohe - Imabari	2:1
10.04.22	Imabari - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:0

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