Match Info

J2 League - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: City Football Station (Tochigi) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	16:00	K-Ball
Japan	17:00	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi City		Imabari

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.7	3.5
	1.78	3.50	3.70
	1.92	3.55	3.35	Watch
	2.05	3.87	3.58
	1.92	3.89	3.48	Watch
	1.92	3.75	3.45
	1.91	4.18	3.49	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.82)	3.77 ↓ (3.87)	3.49 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi City
48.6%

Draw
24.7%

Imabari
26.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.4%

23.8%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

22.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Imabari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tochigi City - Imabari Predictions

Users Predictions: Tochigi City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 31. Simmons A. 2. Jonjic M. 17. Chinen T. 5. Okui R. 20. Pedro Augusto 7. Mori T. 24. Nishiya K. 32. Koike Y. 8. Yamashita K. 23. Yoshida A.	18. Ito G. (G) 29. Maruyama Y. 35. Kushibiki K. 99. Gabriel Gomes 15. Kikuchi K. 26. Palocevic A. 6. Kajiura Y. 8. Mori K. 17. Mochii K. 14. Komai Y. 10. Junio E.
Substitutes
1. Harada Y. (G) 99. Hiraoka M. 6. Kato Jo 18. Kato M. 28. Konishi K. 88. Masukake Y. 10. Okaniwa Y. 15. Sato Y. 11. Vasquez B.	22. Abe H. 19. Furuyama K. 9. Kondo T. 80. Nakai T. 3. Son T. 1. Tachikawa K. (G) 38. Umakoshi H. 11. Wesley Tanque 7. Yamada T.
Coaches
Imaya N.	Kuboyama Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Yoshida A. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Kikuchi K. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Junio E. ⚽, Mori K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Palocevic A. 🟨,
59', Yamashita K. ↓, Masukake Y. ↑,
61', Pedro Augusto 🟨,
69', Mori T. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
69', Koike Y. ↓, Vasquez B. ↑,
75', Junio E. ↓, Wesley Tanque ↑,
75', Mori K. ↓, Umakoshi H. ↑,
78', Nishiya K. ↓, Okaniwa Y. ↑,
78', Yoshida A. ↓, Hiraoka M. ↑,
83', Palocevic A. 🟨,
85', Komai Y. ↓, Yamada T. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th and 20th in the Relegation - J3 League).

Tochigi City has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Imabari has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Imabari could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tochigi City holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Tochigi City	13	3	3	7	20:22	-2	12
19	Imabari	13	3	2	8	15:26	-11	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi City FC
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Tochigi City - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Tokushima Vortis - Tochigi City	3:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Tochigi City	2:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
20.09.26	Tochigi City - Vegalta Sendai	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Kataller Toyama - Tochigi City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT
- FC Imabari
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Imabari - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Imabari	4:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
19.09.26	Yokohama FC - Imabari	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Imabari - Sagan Tosu	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Oita Trinita - Imabari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLWT

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