Match Info

J2 League - Round 22

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Arigato Service Dream (Imabari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Imabari		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.1	2.85	3.3
	2.18	3.07	3.26	Watch
	2.31	3.2	3.47
				Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.5
	2.18	3.14	3.27	Watch
	2.18	2.92	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.23)	3.01 ↓ (3.02)	3.35 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imabari
42%

Draw
30.6%

Ventforet Kofu
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

31%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

30.3%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Ventforet Kofu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	55.6%	22.2%

Imabari - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Imabari will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Kofu will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Imabari (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Takagiwa T. (G) 4. Ichihara R. 3. Fukumori N. 2. Kato T. 37. Umeki R. 20. Vinicius Diniz 18. Arai H. 14. Yuba K. 28. Patrick Verhon 10. Marcus Vinicius 36. Yokoyama Y.	1. Kawata K. (G) 17. Tsuchiya T. 3. Son T. 40. Edu Mancha 24. Sato K. 16. Hayashida K. 48. Val Soares 7. Araki S. 10. Torikai Y. 14. Tanaka Y. 44. Naito Y.
Substitutes
15. Abe R. 21. Hino T. 17. Mochii K. 16. Omori R. 33. Sasa S. 1. Tachikawa K. (G) 24. Takeuchi Y. 11. Tanque W. 7. Yamada T.	20. Endo H. 97. Higashi J. (G) 2. Inoue M. 6. Kobayashi I. 22. Koide Y. 77. Matheus Leiria 9. Mitsuhira K. 19. Miyazaki J. 8. Nakayama R.
Coaches
Kuraishi K.	Otsuka S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Yokoyama Y. ⚽, Arai H. (A),
43', 2 - 0, Patrick Verhon ⚽, Arai H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Val Soares ↓, Matheus Leiria ↑,
46', Araki S. ↓, Kobayashi I. ↑,
55', Patrick Verhon ↓, Yamada T. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Edu Mancha ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, Matheus Leiria ⚽, Kobayashi I. (A),
65', Arai H. ↓, Tanque W. ↑,
67', 2 - 3, Naito Y. ⚽, Torikai Y. (A),
70', 2 - 4, Torikai Y. ⚽,
74', Yuba K. ↓, Abe R. ↑,
75', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Mochii K. ↑,
75', Fukumori N. ↓, Omori R. ↑,
81', Naito Y. ↓, Mitsuhira K. ↑,
82', Edu Mancha 🟨,
86', Tanaka Y. ↓, Endo H. ↑,
90', Edu Mancha ↓, Inoue M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 12).

Imabari is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kofu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Imabari will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Imabari won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Imabari - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.05%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Imabari
Japan J2 League
28.06.25	Fujieda MYFC - Imabari	0:0 ✺
21.06.25	Imabari - Mito HollyHock	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Consadole Sapporo - Imabari	2:2 ✺
07.06.25	Imabari - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Imabari - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTTL
- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
28.06.25	Ventforet Kofu - Ehime	0:0 ✺
22.06.25	Vegalta Sendai - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
15.06.25	Ventforet Kofu - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Ventforet Kofu - Fukui United	2:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
31.05.25	Oita Trinita - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
17.05.25	Ventforet Kofu - Imabari	1:0

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