Match Info

Maranhense - Relegation - Final

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Imperatriz de Desportos		Tuntum

	1	X	2
	2.04	2.81	3.64
	2.08	2.9	3.73	Watch
	2.1	2.75	3.6
	2.07	2.84	3.75
	2.05	2.9	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.4)	2.84 ↓ (3.55)	3.69 ↓ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imperatriz de Desportos
43.7%

Draw
31.8%

Tuntum
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

24.3%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

22.1%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imperatriz de Desportos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Imperatriz de Desportos's form might have worsened.

Tuntum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tuntum's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imperatriz de Desportos than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Imperatriz de Desportos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuntum than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tuntum, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Imperatriz de Desportos - Tuntum Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Tuntum (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Imperatriz (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Imperatriz (votes: 1 - 50%). Tuntum (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Doda ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Vieira R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 2, Manoel ⚽,
75', 2 - 2, Cafe (Penalty Awarded),
85', Cafe 🟥,

Preview

First leg.

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Maranhense (Relegation) and 6 in the zone Maranhense (Relegation))

Recent performances by Imperatriz have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tuntum is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Imperatriz is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Imperatriz won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Imperatriz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imperatriz de Desportos
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
01.02.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - IAPE	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Moto Club de São Luís - Imperatriz de Desportos	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Maranhão	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Tuntum - Imperatriz de Desportos	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	ITZ Sport - Imperatriz de Desportos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLTW
- Tuntum EC
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
01.02.26	Moto Club de São Luís - Tuntum	2:2 ✺
28.01.26	Tuntum - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	ITZ Sport - Tuntum	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Tuntum - Imperatriz de Desportos	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Tuntum - IAPE	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
21.01.26	Tuntum - Imperatriz de Desportos	0:0
22.02.25	Imperatriz de Desportos - Tuntum	0:0
15.01.25	Tuntum - Imperatriz de Desportos	1:2
17.02.24	Imperatriz de Desportos - Tuntum	0:1
14.01.24	Tuntum - Imperatriz de Desportos	1:1

Imperatriz de Desportos - Tuntum: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide