Match Info

Maranhense - Round 6

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday


	Tuntum		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.15	1.95
	3.62	2.92	2.06
	3.64	3.01	2.06
	3.4	3	2.05
	3.67	2.94	2.05
	3.66	2.9	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (3.75)	2.99 ↓ (3.25)	2.04 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuntum
25.3%

Draw
30.3%

Sampaio Corrêa
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

27.1%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

26%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuntum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampaio Corrêa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuntum than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampaio Corrêa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tuntum - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sampaio Corrêa (1.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals))

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Sampaio Corrêa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tuntum won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tuntum won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuntum EC
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
25.01.26	ITZ Sport - Tuntum	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Tuntum - Imperatriz de Desportos	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Tuntum - IAPE	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Maranhão - Tuntum	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Tuntum - Luminense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTWLL
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
25.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa - Luminense	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Moto Club de São Luís - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa - Maranhão	4:2 ✺
14.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa - IAPE	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
15.04.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Tuntum	1:1
04.03.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Tuntum	2:0
21.01.24	Tuntum - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1
30.03.22	Tuntum - Sampaio Corrêa	3:3

Tuntum - Sampaio Corrêa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide