Match Info
Amapaense - Round 3Date: 21 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Augusto Antunes (Santana)
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Independente |
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Oratório |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.88 |
2.42 |
2.88 |
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 |
2.87 |
2.39 |
3.06 |
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 |
2.63 |
2.8 |
2.63 |
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 |
2.64 |
2.6 |
2.86 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.76 ↑ (2.35) |
2.55 ↓ (3.13) |
2.86 ↑ (2.71) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Independente 32.9% | Draw 35.5% | Oratório 31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independente's form might have worsened.Oratório has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Independente - Oratório Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Independente (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Independente (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+3', 🟥,
- 45+5', 1 - 0, Rubran ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 2 - 0, Aleilson ⚽,
- 80', 3 - 0, Daivison ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independente won 2.Oratório may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Independente won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Independente won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 2.2:1.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense | | | 03.05.25 | Independente - Oratório | 2:0 | | 26.04.25 | Oratório - Independente | 2:0 | | 23.03.25 | Oratório - Independente | 0:2 | | 09.07.24 | Independente - Oratório | 2:3 | | 03.07.24 | Oratório - Independente | 0:0 | | 18.04.24 | Independente - Oratório | 2:2 | | 12.04.24 | Oratório - Independente | 1:0 |
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