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Current Win Probability
Oratório 28%
Draw 30%
Independente 42%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22%
29.1%
48.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21%
30.5%
51.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oratório has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oratório's performance.
Independente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oratório than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oratório that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independente than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
0%
83.3%
Oratório - Independente Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Independente will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independente will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Balao Maraba ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 2 - 0, Marreta G. ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Amapaense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Amapaense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Oratório won 2.
Oratório is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Independente is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Independente is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Oratório won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Oratório won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.5).
Watch
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