Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 14

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Independente de Limeira		Francana

	1	X	2
	4.8	4.5	1.46
	5.05	4.04	1.43
	5.11	4.08	1.43
	9.3	5.1	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.07 ↑ (5.09)	4.43 ↑ (3.6)	1.4 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independente de Limeira
14.9%

Draw
20.4%

Francana
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

25.2%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

24.9%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independente de Limeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Francana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independente de Limeira than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francana than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Bruno de Sousa ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Francana is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Independente is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Francana is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Independente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Francana is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independente de Limeira
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
20.03.24	União Barbarense - Independente de Limeira	4:0 ✺
16.03.24	Joseense - Independente de Limeira	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Independente de Limeira - Penapolense	0:3 ✺
06.03.24	Independente de Limeira - XV de Jaú	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Independente de Limeira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWL
- AA Francana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
20.03.24	Francana - Joseense	4:0 ✺
15.03.24	SKA Brasil - Francana	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Francana - Nacional SP	2:0 ✺
06.03.24	VOCEM - Francana	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Barretos - Francana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWL

Independente de Limeira - Francana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide