Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 11

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Francana		Nacional SP

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	3.8
	1.86	3.13	4
	1.83	3.3	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.81)	3.21 ↓ (3.35)	3.95 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francana
49.1%

Draw
28.1%

Nacional SP
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27.2%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

26%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Nacional SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francana than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Francana is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Nacional SP is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Francana is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Francana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
06.03.24	VOCEM - Francana	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Barretos - Francana	3:1 ✺
28.02.24	Francana - Grêmio Osasco Audax	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Francana - Rio Branco de Americana	3:0 ✺
21.02.24	Taquaritinga - Francana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWWT
- Nacional SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
06.03.24	Nacional SP - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Rio Branco de Americana - Nacional SP	1:1 ✺
28.02.24	Nacional SP - Taquaritinga	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Nacional SP - União Barbarense	0:1 ✺
21.02.24	Barretos - Nacional SP	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTTLL

Francana - Nacional SP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide