Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 13

Date: 20 March 2024, Wednesday


	Francana		Joseense

	1	X	2
	1.08	8.75	23
	1.12	6	13
	1.07	7.49	10.14
	1.08	7.49	10.14
	1.05	9.5	24
	1.12	6	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.34)	7.54 ↑ (5)	15.55 ↑ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francana
82.4%

Draw
11.9%

Joseense
5.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

17.1%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francana's performance.

Joseense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joseense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francana than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joseense than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joseense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', 2 - 0, ⚽,
70', 3 - 0, ⚽,
83', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Francana is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Francana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
15.03.24	SKA Brasil - Francana	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Francana - Nacional SP	2:0 ✺
06.03.24	VOCEM - Francana	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Barretos - Francana	3:1 ✺
28.02.24	Francana - Grêmio Osasco Audax	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWLW
- CA Joseense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
16.03.24	Joseense - Independente de Limeira	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	XV de Jaú - Joseense	1:1 ✺
06.03.24	Joseense - Barretos	2:2 ✺
02.03.24	Jabaquara - Joseense	4:0 ✺
28.02.24	VOCEM - Joseense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTTLL

Francana - Joseense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide