The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independente de Limeira 18.3%
Draw 27.4%
Taquaritinga 54.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.5%
28.4%
46.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.6%
27.4%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independente de Limeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independente de Limeira's form might have worsened.
Taquaritinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taquaritinga's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independente de Limeira than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independente de Limeira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taquaritinga than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taquaritinga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Recently Taquaritinga have a series of home games.
Taquaritinga will have a small advantage in this match.
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