Match Info

Primera A Women - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Independiente		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.40	1.57
	4.40	3.40	1.68
	5.3	3.78	1.66
	4.69	3.73	1.65
	4.65	3.7	1.64
	5.97	3.33	1.63
	4.9	3.3	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.02 ↑ (3.85)	3.52 ↑ (3.05)	1.64 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
18.2%

Draw
26%

Belgrano
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

29.4%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

28.6%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente's form might have worsened.

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belgrano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belgrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Independiente - Belgrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Bulacio M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
56', 0 - 2, Bulacio M. ⚽,
69', 0 - 3, Salas S. ⚽,
78', 0 - 4, Bulacio M. ⚽,
90', 0 - 5, Ceballos F. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 6, Ceballos F. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 0.

Recent form of Independiente has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Belgrano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Belgrano has had a series of home games.

In this match, Belgrano is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Belgrano W	11	5	2	4	19:12	7	17
13	Independiente W	11	3	0	8	13:27	-14	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
03.08.26	River Plate - Independiente	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Independiente - Banfield	0:3 ✺
17.07.26	Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Newells Old Boys - Independiente	0:1 ✺
09.07.26	Independiente - Racing	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWL
- Belgrano de Cordoba Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
02.08.26	Belgrano - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Belgrano - Social Atlético Televisión	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	Belgrano - River Plate	2:1 ✺
13.07.26	Banfield - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
08.07.26	Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera A Women
28.03.26	Belgrano - Independiente	1:0
22.09.25	Independiente - Belgrano	1:4
20.03.25	Belgrano - Independiente	4:0
01.09.24	Belgrano - Independiente	3:1
14.04.24	Independiente - Belgrano	0:0
13.11.23	Belgrano - Independiente	2:1
25.06.23	Independiente - Belgrano	2:0

Independiente - Belgrano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide