Match Info
Primera A Women - Apertura - Round 13Date: 9 July 2026, ThursdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | LPF Play |
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Independiente |
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Racing |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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5.25 |
3.70 |
1.53 |
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5.3 |
3.6 |
1.55 |
Watch |
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5.69 |
3.71 |
1.68 |
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5.55 |
3.71 |
1.57 |
Watch |
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5.6 |
3.65 |
1.56 |
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5.66 |
3.5 |
1.62 |
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5.4 |
3.65 |
1.57 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.49 ↓
(7.5) |
3.65 ↓
(3.7) |
1.58 ↑
(1.42) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Independiente
16.7% | Draw
25.2% | Racing
58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Racing (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Independiente (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Racing (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 14', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 24', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1.Recent form of Independiente has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Racing is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins). In this match, Racing is the undisputed favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club W | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 33:9 | 24 | 35 |
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| 13 | Independiente W | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 10:23 | -13 | 13 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian Primera A Women | | | 25.04.25 | Independiente - Racing | 1:1 | | 21.11.24 | Racing - Independiente | 1:1 | | 07.07.24 | Independiente - Racing | 0:4 | | 15.09.23 | Racing - Independiente | 3:1 | | 12.06.23 | Independiente - Racing | 2:0 | | 29.04.22 | Independiente - Racing | 0:1 |
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