Match Info

ARGENTINA: RESERVE LEAGUE - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 17

Date: 18 May 2023, Thursday


	Independiente 2		Arsenal Sarandí 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	1.92	3.2	3.6
	1.92	3.26	3.82
	2	3	3.7
	1.93	3.28	3.8
	1.97	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.14)	3.18 ↑ (3.15)	3.65 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente 2
46.6%

Draw
28.5%

Arsenal Sarandí 2
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Arsenal Sarandí 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí 2 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Independiente 2 - Arsenal Sarandí 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 21).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Independiente 2 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente 2 won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente 2 won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
12.05.23	Tigre 2 - Independiente 2	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Independiente 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Belgrano 2 - Independiente 2	0:1 ✺
22.04.23	Independiente 2 - River Plate 2	3:0 ✺
14.04.23	Racing Club 2 - Independiente 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWWL
- Arsenal Sarandí 2
Argentinian Reserve League
11.05.23	Arsenal Sarandí 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:2 ✺
05.05.23	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Arsenal Sarandí 2	0:2 ✺
30.04.23	Arsenal Sarandí 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Arsenal Sarandí 2	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Arsenal Sarandí 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
27.09.22	Independiente 2 - Arsenal Sarandí 2	1:1
16.02.22	Independiente 2 - Arsenal Sarandí 2	1:1

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