Match Info

ARGENTINA: Reserve League - First stage - Round 14

Date: 30 May 2024, Thursday


	Tigre 2		Independiente 2

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.65	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.87	3.2	2.49
	2.87	3.11	2.49
	2.62	3.1	2.45
	2.71	3	2.47
	2.65	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.99)	3.1 ↑ (2.99)	2.48 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre 2
33.8%

Draw
29.4%

Independiente 2
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

30.9%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

31.3%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre 2 than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+2%)

Tigre 2 - Independiente 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 1, Hidalgo S. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 10).

Recent matches Tigre 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Independiente 2 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tigre 2 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Tigre 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigre 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.05.24	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Tigre 2	0:1 ✺
14.05.24	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Tigre 2	1:0 ✺
10.05.24	Tigre 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Tigre 2	2:0 ✺
18.04.24	Tigre 2 - Lanús 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWLW
- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
21.05.24	Independiente 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:1 ✺
14.05.24	Newells Old Boys 2 - Independiente 2	0:3 ✺
07.05.24	Independiente 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	0:1 ✺
24.04.24	Lanús 2 - Independiente 2	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Independiente 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
05.12.23	Tigre 2 - Independiente 2	1:2
12.05.23	Tigre 2 - Independiente 2	2:0
10.10.22	Independiente 2 - Tigre 2	1:1
07.04.22	Independiente 2 - Tigre 2	0:1

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