Match Info

ARGENTINA: RESERVE LEAGUE - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 14

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Belgrano 2		Independiente 2

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.5
	2	3	3.6
	2.01	3.1	3.7
	2	3.16	3.7	Watch
	1.97	3.1	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.94)	3.07 ↓ (3.22)	3.63 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano 2
45.6%

Draw
29.5%

Independiente 2
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27.9%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

26.7%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano 2 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Belgrano 2 - Independiente 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).

Belgrano 2 is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Independiente 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Belgrano 2 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano 2
Argentinian Reserve League
21.04.23	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Belgrano 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	2:0 ✺
11.04.23	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Belgrano 2	0:1 ✺
07.04.23	Belgrano 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	3:0 ✺
31.03.23	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Belgrano 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWWL
- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.04.23	Independiente 2 - River Plate 2	3:0 ✺
14.04.23	Racing Club 2 - Independiente 2	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Independiente 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:3 ✺
07.04.23	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Independiente 2	0:1 ✺
31.03.23	Independiente 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLWT

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