Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday


	Independiente 2		Atlético Tucumán 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.13	3.3	3.28
	2.33	3.31	2.86	Watch
	2.07	3.24	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.02)	3.29 ↑ (3.17)	3.15 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente 2
43%

Draw
27.9%

Atlético Tucumán 2
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.6%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.6%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Atlético Tucumán 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán 2 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Independiente 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
5', 1 - 1, ⚽,
18', 2 - 1, ⚽,
21', 3 - 1, ⚽,
40', 4 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Independiente 2 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Independiente 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
09.10.25	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Independiente 2	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Independiente 2 - Lanús 2	3:1 ✺
24.09.25	Godoy Cruz 2 - Independiente 2	3:0 ✺
16.09.25	Ferro 2 - Independiente 2	3:2 ✺
11.09.25	Independiente 2 - San Lorenzo 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLW
- Atlético Tucumán 2
Argentinian Reserve League
09.10.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:1 ✺
02.10.25	Instituto 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	2:1 ✺
25.09.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Platense 2	3:0 ✺
17.09.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:1 ✺
11.09.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - River Plate 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
14.05.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Independiente 2	0:0
25.10.23	Independiente 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	5:1
20.07.23	Independiente 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	3:0
23.07.22	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Independiente 2	1:2

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