Match Info

ARGENTINA: Reserve League - Second stage - Round 14

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Independiente 2		Tigre 2

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4
	1.87	3.05	4.2
	1.95	3.04	4.34
	1.9	3.05	4.29
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.88	3.02	4.24
	1.87	3.05	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.82)	3.04 ↓ (3.19)	4.18 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente 2
48.4%

Draw
29.9%

Tigre 2
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

28.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

27.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Tigre 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre 2 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Independiente 2 - Tigre 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Ortiz S. ⚽,
65', Chavez T. 🟥,
85', 2 - 0, Millan L. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Second stage ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

Independiente 2 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tigre 2 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Independiente 2 is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente 2 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
23.10.24	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Independiente 2	4:1 ✺
16.10.24	Independiente 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:1 ✺
09.10.24	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Independiente 2	0:0 ✺
03.10.24	Independiente 2 - Lanús 2	1:1 ✺
25.09.24	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Independiente 2	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTTL
- Tigre 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.10.24	Tigre 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:1 ✺
15.10.24	Tigre 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:3 ✺
10.10.24	Newells Old Boys 2 - Tigre 2	0:0 ✺
02.10.24	Tigre 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	3:1 ✺
24.09.24	Lanús 2 - Tigre 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
30.05.24	Tigre 2 - Independiente 2	0:1
05.12.23	Tigre 2 - Independiente 2	1:2
12.05.23	Tigre 2 - Independiente 2	2:0
10.10.22	Independiente 2 - Tigre 2	1:1
07.04.22	Independiente 2 - Tigre 2	0:1

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