The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente 2 39.9%
Draw 30.3%
Newells Old Boys 2 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
31.2%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
31.9%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Newells Old Boys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Independiente 2 - Newells Old Boys 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Independiente 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Newells Old Boys 2 is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Independiente 2 might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
Including home match between the teams, Independiente 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.