Match Info

PARAGUAY: DIVISION INTERMEDIA - ROUND 12

Date: 12 June 2023, Monday


	Independiente Asuncion		2 de Mayo

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.87
	2.35	3.1	2.75
	2.35	3.16	2.75
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.31	3.2	2.93
	2.24	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.95)	3.1 ↑ (3.07)	2.87 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Asuncion
39.3%

Draw
29.2%

2 de Mayo
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

29%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

30.6%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Asuncion's form might have worsened.

2 de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting 2 de Mayo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for 2 de Mayo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Independiente Asuncion - 2 de Mayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Independiente FBC will win (votes: 1 - 20%). 2 de Mayo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 3).

Recent matches Independiente Asuncion is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

2 de Mayo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Independiente Asuncion could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Independiente Asuncion will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Independiente Asuncion won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Asuncion won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
04.06.23	Martín Ledesma - Independiente Asuncion	0:4 ✺
29.05.23	Independiente Asuncion - Sol de América	2:2 ✺
22.05.23	3 de Febrero - Independiente Asuncion	2:0 ✺
16.05.23	Independiente Asuncion - Fernando de la Mora	2:1 ✺
12.05.23	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLWL
- CS 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
05.06.23	2 de Mayo - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
28.05.23	Atyrá - 2 de Mayo	1:0 ✺
21.05.23	2 de Mayo - Pastoreo	2:0 ✺
17.05.23	Deportivo Santaní - 2 de Mayo	2:2 ✺
14.05.23	2 de Mayo - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
18.08.22	Independiente Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	1:0

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