Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción)


	Guaraní Asuncion		2 de Mayo

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.25	4.2	Watch
	1.62	3.6	4.5
	1.9	3.25	3.9	Watch
	1.91	3.59	4.09
	1.86	3.59	4.05	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.9
	1.84	3.53	4.13	Watch
	1.56	3.4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.56)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	4.21 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
51.3%

Draw
26.8%

2 de Mayo
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.8%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.8%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

2 de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for 2 de Mayo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo Predictions

Users Predictions: Guaraní Asuncion will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Servio G. (C) 37. Perez D. 2. Segovia I. 4. Zaracho S. 3. Barbotte A. 36. Martinez L. 5. Tanda P. 29. Llano J. 40. Fernandez F. 10. Rodriguez D. 9. Ramirez I.	1. Martinez A. (G) 15. Davalos Valdez V. 2. Barreto M. 5. Saiz C. (C) 19. Castro C. 20. Sanabria S. 17. Delvalle P. 18. Acosta M. 31. Riquelme H. 10. Gomez A. 23. Caceres Aguero F. M.
Substitutes
31. Arzamendia M. (G) 38. Coronel P. 26. Fernandez D. 33. Ferreira Gonzalez K. 27. Gomez M. 11. Jhon Sanchez 34. Maldonado M. 7. Manzur A. 14. Ramos M. 28. Romero N. 15. Servin T. 17. Torales R.	27. Acosta D. 7. Alfonso E. 8. Colman O. 11. Coronel U. 32. Diaz J. 16. Espinola A. 26. Fretes S. D. 6. Maidana E. 24. Romero O. 9. Ruiz Diaz R. 12. Servin C. (G) 21. Sosa P.
Coaches
Vargas C.	Ledesma E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Ramirez I. ⚽, Rodriguez D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Riquelme H. ↓, Colman O. ↑,
46', Rodriguez D. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
63', Delvalle P. ↓, Acosta D. ↑,
63', Caceres Aguero F. M. ↓, Ruiz Diaz R. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Acosta D. ⚽, Ruiz Diaz R. (A),
68', Fernandez F. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
68', Llano J. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
71', Sanabria S. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
77', Gomez A. ↓, Fretes S. D. ↑,
85', Perez D. 🟨,
85', Tanda P. ↓, Manzur A. ↑,
85', Ramirez I. ↓, Romero N. ↑,
87', Colman O. 🟨,
90+5', Rodriguez D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 2.

Guaraní is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

2 de Mayo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Guaraní may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	2 de Mayo	13	7	4	2	16:13	3	25
6	Guarani	13	5	6	2	14:10	4	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
21.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLT
- CS 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.03.26	Sportivo Luqueño - 2 de Mayo	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 2 de Mayo	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	2 de Mayo - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Rubio Ñu - 2 de Mayo	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Trinidense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Paraguay
05.11.25	2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.09.25	2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0
06.07.25	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	3:1
16.04.25	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	0:1
Copa Sudamericana
06.03.25	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	2:0
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.02.25	2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion	0:2
21.10.24	2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2

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