Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 22

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Río Parapití (Pedro Juan Caballero)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	2 de Mayo		Sportivo San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.72	3.4	4.55	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.87
	1.75	3.43	4.97	Watch
	1.78	3.46	4.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.12)	3.35 (3.35)	4.54 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

2 de Mayo
52.1%

Draw
27.6%

Sportivo San Lorenzo
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

27.9%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27.9%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

2 de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 2 de Mayo's performance.

Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 2 de Mayo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

2 de Mayo - Sportivo San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 de Mayo will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez A. (G) 4. Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. 21. Sosa P. (C) 5. Saiz C. 19. Castro C. 20. Sanabria S. 31. Riquelme H. 18. Acosta M. 30. Farina A. 10. Gomez A. 27. Acosta D.	1. Cristoforo F. (G) 2. Esteche L. 19. Caceres L. 4. Doldan J. 20. Meza Montiel D. 30. Galeano A. 8. Quinonez A. (C) 21. Gonzalez H. 11. Torres I. 10. Alvarez A. 35. Colman C.
Substitutes
2. Barreto M. 11. Coronel U. 37. Delgadillo L. 17. Delvalle P. 16. Espinola A. 26. Fretes S. D. 3. Ibarrola W. 24. Romero O. 9. Ruiz Diaz R. 33. Trinanes F. 28. Urquiza M. (G)	18. Aveiro P. 9. Barrios J. 26. Duarte J. 22. Figueroa I. 29. Garcia M. 7. Martinez M. 33. Olazar R. (G) 28. Oviedo A. 36. Paez A. 5. Paredes T. 23. Rivas F. 6. Villamayor H.
Coaches
Ledesma E.	Duarte T. D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Colman C. ⚽, Alvarez A. (A),
34', Riquelme H. ↓, Delgadillo L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. ↓, Espinola A. ↑,
46', Sanabria S. ↓, Delvalle P. ↑,
49', Gomez A. 🟨,
59', Gomez A. ↓, Fretes S. D. ↑,
66', Alvarez A. ↓, Paez A. ↑,
66', Torres I. ↓, Villamayor H. ↑,
66', Ruiz Diaz R. 🟨,
68', Delgadillo L. ↓, Ruiz Diaz R. ↑,
69', Esteche L. 🟨,
74', Quinonez A. 🟨,
80', Gonzalez H. ↓, Figueroa I. ↑,
80', Torres I. 🟨,
86', Colman C. ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
86', Galeano A. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 12).

Recent performances by 2 de Mayo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sportivo San Lorenzo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sportivo San Lorenzo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, 2 de Mayo is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, 2 de Mayo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	2 de Mayo	13	7	4	2	16:13	3	25
12	San Lorenzo	13	0	3	10	4:22	-18	3

Last Results with these Odds

Sportivo San Lorenzo - the odds 3.34 are the expected chance of winning is 27.99%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.05.26	Libertad Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	2 de Mayo - Rubio Ñu	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Sportivo Trinidense - 2 de Mayo	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWWTL
- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.05.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	5:0 ✺
26.04.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Rubio Ñu	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
17.03.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 2 de Mayo	1:1
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
08.09.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 2 de Mayo	0:1
05.06.23	2 de Mayo - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:1
11.07.22	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 2 de Mayo	1:0
04.04.22	2 de Mayo - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:2

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