Match Info

ECUADOR: SERIE B - ROUND 33

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Independiente Juniors		América de Quito

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	4.4
	1.72	3.64	4.66
	1.57	3.75	4.75
	1.58	3.78	4.9	Watch
	1.6	3.7	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)	3.71 ↓ (3.75)	4.72 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Juniors
56.2%

Draw
24.5%

América de Quito
19.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57%

24.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

23.1%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

América de Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Quito than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Independiente Juniors - América de Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Independiente Jr will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). América de Quito will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente Juniors won 2.

Independiente Juniors is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches América de Quito is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

América de Quito could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Independiente Juniors is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Independiente Juniors won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Juniors won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
26.09.23	Imbabura - Independiente Juniors	0:3 ✺
20.09.23	Independiente Juniors - Búhos ULVR	2:0 ✺
12.09.23	Deportivo Macará - Independiente Juniors	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre	3:1 ✺
06.09.23	Vargas Torres - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTWL
- América de Quito
Ecuadorian Serie B
27.09.23	Búhos ULVR - América de Quito	1:1 ✺
19.09.23	América de Quito - Manta	5:1 ✺
13.09.23	Imbabura - América de Quito	5:2 ✺
10.09.23	América de Quito - Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
05.09.23	Deportivo Macará - América de Quito	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
16.08.23	América de Quito - Independiente Juniors	0:1
13.06.23	América de Quito - Independiente Juniors	3:2
20.04.23	Independiente Juniors - América de Quito	4:1
30.10.22	Independiente Juniors - América de Quito	1:1
09.06.22	América de Quito - Independiente Juniors	4:0
15.04.22	Independiente Juniors - América de Quito	1:0
06.10.21	América de Quito - Independiente Juniors	1:1

Independiente Juniors - América de Quito