The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Medellín 52.1%
Draw 27.6%
Inter Palmira 20.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.8%
26.9%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
22.2%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Inter Palmira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Palmira than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inter Palmira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente Medellín - Inter Palmira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Tejada M. (G) 23. Largo E. 16. Hernandez E. 2. Iglesias A. 25. Correa M. 6. Alvarez S. 14. Rangel N. 18. Munera M. 7. Hurtado M. 8. Gonzalez A. 10. Gonzalez E.
1. Cardozo L. (G) 21. Pavi V. 8. Ordonez A. 16. Montano L. 15. Caicedo A. 18. Castillo M. 9. Marquinez M. 2. Vasquez S. 17. Arias Y. 5. Guzman D. 26. Marquinez K.
Substitutes
19. Agudelo E. 11. Arias K. 13. Doria Y. 1. Garcia L. (G) 5. Guzman M. 26. Macias P. 3. Ramirez V. 15. Tangarife V. 24. Tuberquia D.
12. Aguilar A. (G) 7. Castro A. 4. Landinez L. 3. Rubio J. 6. Ruiz D. 13. Soto M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Marquinez K. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
36', Guzman D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hernandez E. ↓, Arias K. ↑,
46', Ruiz D. 🟨,
61', Largo E. ↓, Agudelo E. ↑,
61', Iglesias A. ↓, Doria Y. ↑,
67', Castillo M. ↓, Rubio J. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Gonzalez E. ⚽, Hurtado M. (A),
74', Correa M. ↓, Tangarife V. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Montano L. ⚽,
88', Rangel N. ↓, Tuberquia D. ↑,
90+3', Arias Y. ↓, Soto M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 2.
Recent performances by Ind Medellín have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Inter Palmira's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ind Medellín is considered a favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Watch
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Tejada M. (G) 
Hernandez E. 
Rangel N. 
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