Match Info

Liga Women - Promotion Group - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Francisco Rivera Escobar (Palmira)


	Orsomarso		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	2.88
	2.24	3.35	2.92
	2.34	3.00	3.06	Watch
	2.21	3.24	2.97	Watch
	2.71	3.22	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.72)	3.21 ↓ (3.24)	2.83 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orsomarso
39.1%

Draw
28.5%

Independiente Medellín
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

27.9%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orsomarso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orsomarso's performance.

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Medellín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Orsomarso - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Murillo G. (G) 25. Aguilar M. 13. Carabali M. 2. Carvajal M. (C) 9. Garcia H. 23. Goyes V. 21. Ibarguen L. 8. Moreno M. 20. Orozco N. 15. Ramirez M. 7. Urrutia K.	12. Candanoza V. (G) 19. Agudelo E. 6. Alvarez S. (C) 25. Correa M. 8. Gonzalez A. 10. Gonzalez E. 7. Hurtado M. 2. Iglesias A. 23. Largo E. 18. Munera M. 24. Tuberquia D.
Substitutes
1. Catillo L. (G) 18. Ferrin H. 24. Lasso Sanchez B. 14. Mera A. 11. Palacios V. 17. Renteria K. 16. Sanchez S. 6. Vergara M.	11. Arias K. 1. Garcia L. (G) 16. Hernandez E. 26. Macias P. 15. Tangarife V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Orozco N. ⚽, Urrutia K. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Goyes V. ⚽, Orozco N. (A),
36', Ruiz N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Agudelo E. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
46', Garcia H. ↓, Palacios V. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Largo E. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
55', Carvajal M. 🟨,
57', Urrutia K. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
69', Largo E. ↓, Arias K. ↑,
73', Goyes V. ↓, Mera A. ↑,
85', Iglesias A. ↓, Macias P. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Rangel N. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
89', Ramirez M. 🟨,
90+1', Palacios V. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Orsomarso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orsomarso SC Women
Colombian Liga Women
20.08.25	Inter Palmira - Orsomarso	0:0 ✺
13.08.25	Orsomarso - Inter Palmira	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Independiente Medellín - Orsomarso	0:3 ✺
05.08.25	Orsomarso - Deportivo Cali	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Junior Barranquilla - Orsomarso	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 TWWTW
- Independiente Medellín Women
Colombian Liga Women
20.08.25	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
14.08.25	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Cali	0:3 ✺
09.08.25	Independiente Medellín - Orsomarso	0:3 ✺
05.08.25	Inter Palmira - Independiente Medellín	2:3 ✺
21.06.25	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Cali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
09.08.25	Independiente Medellín - Orsomarso	0:3
15.03.25	Orsomarso - Independiente Medellín	0:1
27.02.22	Orsomarso - Independiente Medellín	0:1

Orsomarso - Independiente Medellín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide