The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Petroleros 41.7%
Draw 27.5%
Blooming 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
25.7%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
25.5%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Petroleros's form might have worsened.
Blooming has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Petroleros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blooming than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Blooming, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente Petroleros - Blooming Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez J. (G) 2. Torres S. 27. Navarro D. 3. Crescencio L. 34. Mendoza G. 59. Villavicencio J. 14. Urdininea C. 6. Rojas D. 7. Cardozo R. 19. Cristaldo G. (C) 91. Alvarez G.
1. Uraezana B. (G) 18. Gonzales J. 3. Valverde J. 24. Justiniano E. 4. Duran D. 19. Abisab M. 6. Spenhay R. (C) 7. Villarroel M. 10. Hinojosa R. 88. Centella G. 29. Garces J.
Substitutes
15. Bejarano J. 9. Gean 39. Grass P. 99. Jeferson Carioca 20. Mercado A. 5. Palma L. 4. Rodriguez L. 50. Roni Santos 26. Sanchez K. 12. Vera J. (G) 93. Willie
13. Camacho J. (G) 79. Cuasace G. 81. Escalante B. 20. Loza P. 25. Melgar R. 11. Menacho C. 75. Ocampo M. 33. Oliveros A. 80. Pacheco D. 8. Villarroel M.
Coaches
Thiago Leitao
Sanchez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Garces J. ⚽, Hinojosa R. (A),
19', Duran D. 🟨,
35', Navarro D. 🟥,
36', 0 - 2, Hinojosa R. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 1 - 2, Urdininea C. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Cardozo R. ↓, Willie ↑,
46', Villavicencio J. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
46', Duran D. ↓, Ocampo M. ↑,
52', Abisab M. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
64', Hinojosa R. ↓, Oliveros A. ↑,
64', Villarroel M. ↓, Cuasace G. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Justiniano E. (Own goal),
73', Cristaldo G. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
77', 3 - 2, Willie ⚽, Mercado A. (A),
82', Centella G. ↓, Menacho C. ↑,
82', Alvarez G. ↓, Jeferson Carioca ↑,
87', 4 - 2, Jeferson Carioca ⚽, Willie (A),
90', Urdininea C. ↓, Roni Santos ↑,
90+3', Crescencio L. 🟨,
90+6', Uraezana B. 🟨,
90+7', 5 - 2, Mercado A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 1.
Ind Petroleros is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Blooming has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Blooming may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Blooming has had a series of home games.
Ind Petroleros is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 26:37. (average 1.4:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 2.2:1.6).