The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blooming 51.7%
Draw 25.1%
Aurora 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.6%
25%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.1%
24.8%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blooming has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blooming than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Blooming - Aurora Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Uraezana B. (G) 44. Enoumba M. 3. Valverde J. 22. Vila J. 75. Ocampo M. 19. Abisab M. 8. Villarroel M. (C) 7. Villarroel M. 10. Hinojosa R. 88. Centella G. 29. Garces J.
12. Cordano R. (G) 32. Altamirano S. 3. Barboza L. (C) 22. Velazquez J. 21. Ortiz M. 27. Flores A. 5. Amarilla A. 19. Sanchez E. 7. Vaca H. 9. Rangel M. 70. Torrico J.
Substitutes
28. Alvarez E. 13. Camacho J. (G) 79. Cuasace G. 4. Duran D. 18. Gonzales J. 24. Justiniano E. 20. Loza P. 25. Melgar R. 11. Menacho C. 33. Oliveros A. 80. Pacheco D. 6. Spenhay R.
99. Barba Cortez M. (G) 16. Barro L. 93. Pierola J. 10. Ramallo R. 14. Sanchez H. 69. Terrazas A. 4. Vidaurre I. 8. Viviani L.
Coaches
Sanchez E.
Umana G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Centella G. ⚽, Hinojosa R. (A),
28', Amarilla A. 🟨,
37', Umana G. 🟨,
37', Sanchez H. 🟨,
45+1', Amarilla A. 🟨,
45+3', Umana G. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Flores A. ↓, Viviani L. ↑,
46', Rangel M. ↓, Barro L. ↑,
46', Vaca H. ↓, Ramallo R. ↑,
58', Altamirano S. ↓, Terrazas A. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Villarroel M. ⚽, Hinojosa R. (A),
62', Velazquez J. 🟨,
67', Hinojosa R. 🟨,
68', 3 - 0, Centella G. ⚽, Abisab M. (A),
70', Barboza L. 🟨,
72', Enoumba M. 🟨,
73', Hinojosa R. ↓, Oliveros A. ↑,
73', Villarroel M. ↓, Spenhay R. ↑,
76', Barro L. 🟨,
80', Garces J. ↓, Menacho C. ↑,
80', Enoumba M. ↓, Gonzales J. ↑,
86', Spenhay R. 🟨,
87', Valverde J. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
90+3', Spenhay R. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blooming won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Blooming may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Blooming has had a series of home games.
In this match, Blooming is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Blooming won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Blooming won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Aurora
20
7
9
4
31:27
4
30
8
Blooming
20
6
9
5
30:22
8
27
Last Results with these Odds
Blooming - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 53.64%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.