The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Petroleros 36.6%
Draw 26.3%
Aurora 37.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.5%
25.3%
39.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
12.5%
25%
Independiente Petroleros - Aurora Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Aurora will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Petroleros: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez J. (G) 77. Zamora R. 27. Navarro D. 3. Crescencio L. 34. Mendoza G. 19. Cristaldo G. (C) 14. Urdininea C. 6. Rojas D. 7. Cardozo R. 93. Willie 9. Gean
12. Cordano R. (G) 70. Torrico J. 22. Velazquez J. 3. Barboza L. (C) 4. Vidaurre I. 19. Sanchez E. 16. Barro L. 8. Viviani L. 69. Terrazas A. 21. Ortiz M. 9. Rangel M.
Substitutes
91. Alvarez G. 15. Bejarano J. 82. Claros D. 99. Jeferson Carioca 68. Morales D. 5. Palma L. 22. Rocabado Concha R. E. 4. Rodriguez L. 26. Sanchez K. 28. Soleto W. 12. Vera J. (G) 59. Villavicencio J.
32. Altamirano S. 99. Barba Cortez M. (G) 15. Cordova J. 23. Huayhuata I. 11. Mojica H. 20. Pacheco A. 77. Pinedo F. 18. Rojas S. 14. Sanchez H. 7. Vaca H. 28. Vaca O.
Coaches
Thiago Leitao
Umana G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Willie ⚽, Cristaldo G. (A),
31', Crescencio L. 🟨,
45', Zamora R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vidaurre I. ↓, Vaca H. ↑,
46', Gean ↓, Jeferson Carioca ↑,
46', Cardozo R. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
55', Alvarez G. 🟥,
68', Cristaldo G. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
72', Navarro D. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
72', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
77', Barro L. 🟥,
79', 1 - 1, Ortiz M. ⚽, Barboza L. (A),
85', Rojas D. ↓, Bejarano J. ↑,
87', Sanchez E. ↓, Huayhuata I. ↑,
87', Terrazas A. ↓, Mojica H. ↑,
90+4', Rangel M. ↓, Rojas S. ↑,
90+5', Vaca H. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 3.
Ind Petroleros is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).