Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
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Mexico	Disney+
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Usa	Fanatiz
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World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente Rivadavia		Lanús

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.75
				Watch
	3.06	2.97	2.71
				Watch
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.46)	2.96 ↓ (2.98)	2.73 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
33.2%

Draw
32%

Lanús
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

31.7%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

32.8%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Rivadavia's form might have worsened.

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lanús, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Independiente Rivadavia - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Lanús will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Centurion E. (G) 4. Peinipil M. 40. Villalba I. 42. Studer S. 14. Gomez L. 21. Cardillo M. 25. Amarfil M. 11. Tonetto D. 34. Retamar K. 22. Villa S. (C) 43. Sartori F.	17. Morales L. (G) 4. Perez G. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 35. Dejesus R. 6. Marcich S. 23. Carrera R. 39. Medina A. 10. Marcelino Moreno 11. Salvio E. 9. Bou W. 25. Aquino D.
Substitutes
44. Amato F. 2. Costa L. 26. Fernandez M. 6. Flores S. 32. Juambeltz M. 23. Marinelli G. (G) 13. Osella A. 7. Ramis V. 19. Schwartz M. 8. Sequeira L. 27. Souto P. 31. Valenti M.	27. Acosta L. 20. Cabrera B. 14. Canelo A. 13. Cardozo L. 12. Claa N. (G) 34. Gerez M. 21. Mendez A. 2. Munoz E. 32. Orozco F. 33. Ramirez J. 19. Rodriguez A. 36. Segovia A.
Coaches
Berti A.	Pellegrino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Carrera R. 🟨,
25', Tonetto D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tonetto D. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Retamar K. ⚽,
60', Carrera R. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
64', Retamar K. ↓, Amato F. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Bou W. (Pen),
72', Perez G. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
73', Salvio E. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
77', Sartori F. ↓, Ramis V. ↑,
77', Amarfil M. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
77', Cardillo M. ↓, Costa L. ↑,
79', Medina A. ↓, Orozco F. ↑,
80', Aquino D. ↓, Gerez M. ↑,
90', Sequeira L. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Independiente R could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Independiente R: Abecasis L. (Inactive) Peinipil M. (Injury)

There will not play in Lanús: Cardozo A. (Red Card) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Morgantini N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Inactive) Segovia A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lanús: Aguilar B. (Knee Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente R won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.02.25	Argentinos Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Tigre	1:4 ✺
11.02.25	Boca Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Estudiantes La Plata	2:2 ✺
03.02.25	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TLLTW
- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.02.25	Lanús - Vélez Sársfield	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	River Plate - Lanús	1:0 ✺
13.02.25	Lanús - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Lanús	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
05.02.25	Lanús - General Lamadrid	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.05.24	Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2
Copa Argentina
20.07.19	Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0

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