The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Rivadavia 47.7%
Draw 29.1%
Tigre 23.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.4%
27.6%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
27.3%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
Independiente Rivadavia - Tigre Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tigre will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Tigre (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Bolcato N. (G) 2. Costa L. 42. Studer S. (C) 40. Villalba I. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 14. Gomez L. 80. Reali M. 77. Sequeira L. 3. Elordi J. M. 43. Sartori F. 10. Fernandez M.
12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 8. Garay M. 2. Laso J. (C) 20. Barrionuevo A. 24. Alvarez F. 50. Peluffo I. 27. Gonzalez S. 5. Leyes B. 10. Saralegui J. 30. Domina J. 29. Russo I.
Substitutes
19. Atencio R. 5. Bottari T. 8. Bucca L. 27. Crego D. 23. Diaz L. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 13. Osella A. 7. Ramis V. 11. Rios G. 32. Vazquez K. A. 28. Vigo A.
16. Dubersarsky N. 18. Fernandez M. 28. Martinez P. 33. Mendez M. 26. Morales L. (G) 4. Moreno V. 19. Oviedo A. 23. Requena G. 11. Serrago T. 17. Soto G. 25. Subiabre I. 32. Villalba J.
Coaches
Berti A.
Dabove D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Fernandez M. ⚽, Elordi J. M. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Barrionuevo A. ⚽, Saralegui J. (A),
27', Peluffo I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Peluffo I. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ⚽,
59', Villalba I. 🟨,
62', Gonzalez S. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
62', Russo I. ↓, Mendez M. ↑,
62', Fernandez M. 🟨,
67', Fernandez M. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
68', Sequeira L. ↓, Bottari T. ↑,
68', Laso J. 🟨,
74', Sartori F. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
74', Reali M. ↓, Ramis V. ↑,
74', Laso J. ↓, Villalba J. ↑,
80', Leyes B. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
81', Diaz L. ↓, Vazquez K. A. ↑,
87', Elordi J. M. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Fernandez M. ⚽, Alvarez F. (A),
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals) and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 3.
Independiente R has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Tigre is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Independiente R could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Independiente R carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Independiente R: Arce A.
(Red Card)
Bonifacio E.
(Inactive)
Macagno R.
(Muscle Injury)
Salas M.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Tigre: Arias R.
(Knee Injury)
Dubersarsky N.
(Knee Injury)
Lopez S.
(Yellow Cards)
Martinez P.
(Muscle Injury)
Mendez M.
(Knee Injury)
Rivero S. G.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Independiente R: Vazquez K. A.
(Inactive).
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Independiente R has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 10:6 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Independiente R against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).
Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now
Ind. Rivadavia: 2.27%
Last Results with these Odds
Tigre - the odds 4.5 are the expected chance of winning is 21.02%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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Bolcato N. (G) 
Costa L. 
Villalba I. 
Diaz L. 
Soto G. 
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