Match Info

Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday


	Independiente Rivadavia		Tigre

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.75	2.80
	2.38	2.63	3.55	Watch
	2.71	2.83	3.13
	2.90	2.40	3.24	Watch
	2.65	2.60	3.05
	2.64	2.58	3.30	Watch
	2.48	2.85	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.22)	2.66 ↓ (3.24)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
35.7%

Draw
34.9%

Tigre
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

29.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Rivadavia's form might have worsened.

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Independiente Rivadavia - Tigre Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tigre will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Independiente R (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bolcato N. (G) 14. Gomez L. 40. Villalba I. 42. Studer S. (C) 3. Elordi J. M. 2. Costa L. 11. Rios G. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 8. Bucca L. 10. Fernandez M. 43. Sartori F.	12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 4. Moreno V. 2. Laso J. (C) 20. Barrionuevo A. 24. Alvarez F. 8. Garay M. 5. Leyes B. 30. Elias J. 33. Cabrera E. 9. Romero D. 29. Russo I.
Substitutes
9. Arce A. 19. Atencio R. 36. Bonifacio E. 5. Bottari T. 27. Crego D. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 13. Osella A. 7. Ramis V. 20. Riep A. 77. Sequeira L. 32. Vazquez K. A.	3. Banegas N. 1. Fuster L. (G) 27. Gonzalez S. 22. Lopez S. 28. Martinez P. 40. Minniti L. 55. Mosqueira J. 19. Oviedo A. 10. Saralegui J. 11. Serrago T. 17. Soto G. 32. Villalba J.
Coaches
Berti A.	Dabove D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Studer S. 🟨,
32', Moreno V. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Gomez L. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Costa L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moreno V. ↓, Saralegui J. ↑,
58', Laso J. 🟨,
63', Cabrera E. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
64', Russo I. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
64', Elias J. ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
65', Rios G. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
72', Sartori F. 🟨,
75', Fernandez M. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
76', Bucca L. ↓, Moreyra S. ↑,
85', Alvarez F. ↓, Banegas N. ↑,
87', Sartori F. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location.

Independiente R has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tigre is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Independiente R might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home match between the teams, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Rivadavia - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.04%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Copa Libertadores
27.05.26	Bolívar - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3 ✺
21.05.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Independiente Rivadavia	2:4 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.05.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Unión Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.26	Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLTT
- CA Tigre
Copa Sudamericana
28.05.26	Tigre - Alianza Atlético	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	América de Cali - Tigre	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Deportivo Macará - Tigre	2:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.26	Rosario Central - Tigre	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Tigre - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.04.26	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2
Copa Argentina
05.09.25	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.08.25	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1
15.02.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Tigre	1:4
09.12.24	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2

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