Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda (Yumbo (COL))

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Independiente Valle del Cauca		Barranquilla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.75	5.5
	1.58	3.84	5.84
	1.57	3.93	5.65	Watch
	1.53	3.4	5
	1.54	3.62	5.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.72)	3.71 ↑ (3.59)	5.55 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Valle del Cauca
58.8%

Draw
24.7%

Barranquilla
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25.8%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

25.1%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Valle del Cauca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Valle del Cauca than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Independiente Valle del Cauca - Barranquilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Farias L. ⚽,
76', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Independiente Yumbo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barranquilla has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Independiente Yumbo is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ind. Valle del Cauca	11	7	2	2	15:6	9	23
16	Barranquilla	11	2	3	6	11:17	-6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Valle del Cauca
Colombian Primera B
04.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Bogotá	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Leones - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Real Santander	1:1 ✺
16.02.26	Tigres - Independiente Valle del Cauca	1:3 ✺
09.02.26	Deportes Quindío - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWTWT
- Barranquilla FC
Colombian Primera B
04.03.26	Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	1:3 ✺
26.02.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Barranquilla	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Barranquilla - Internacional de Palmira	0:4 ✺
16.02.26	Deportes Quindío - Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Barranquilla - Patriotas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWLLW

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