Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui (Itagui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Leones		Independiente Valle del Cauca

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.1	2.65
	3.4	3.05	2.15
	3.94	3.02	2.08
	3.51	3.23	2.11	Watch
	3.5	2.8	2.05
	3.66	3.17	2.08	Watch
	2.32	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.32)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	2.25 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones
28.6%

Draw
30.3%

Independiente Valle del Cauca
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.9%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

29.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones's form might have worsened.

Independiente Valle del Cauca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Valle del Cauca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Valle del Cauca than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Valle del Cauca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leones - Independiente Valle del Cauca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ind Valle del Cauca (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind Valle del Cauca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Arboleda J. (G) 10. Ceballos A. 30. Granados R. 28. Hincapie Ossa J. F. 3. Marmolejo D. 5. Meneses G. 13. Moreno D. 11. Palacios L. 16. Renteria J. 18. Restrepo N. 21. Segura O.	22. Mendez J. (G) 27. Ampudia J. 5. Diaz J. 8. Diaz T. 9. Garcia A. 31. Murillo J. 14. Ordonez J. 24. Palacios J. 15. Perdomo J. 21. Rodriguez J. 4. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
4. Garcia D. 1. Holguin C. (G) 8. Martinez J. 31. Moreno J. 19. Munoz J. 32. Pasos E. 29. Puello G. 22. Restrepo J. 20. Ruiz J.	34. De Arco H. 11. Farias L. 17. Mena H. 12. Mena L. (G) 23. Preciado Y. 16. Villa D. 18. Vivas O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Ampudia J. 🟨,
9', Hincapie Ossa J. F. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽,
35', Ceballos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Segura O. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
46', Ceballos A. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
59', Palacios J. ↓, Villa D. ↑,
65', Hincapie Ossa J. F. ↓, Pasos E. ↑,
73', Diaz T. ↓, Mena H. ↑,
73', Garcia A. ↓, Farias L. ↑,
77', Villa D. 🟨,
79', Rodriguez J. ↓, Vivas O. ↑,
79', Murillo J. ↓, De Arco H. ↑,
80', Munoz J. ↓, Puello G. ↑,
90', Marmolejo D. 🟨,
90', 0 - 2, Farias L. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).

Leones is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Independiente Yumbo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ind. Valle del Cauca	11	7	2	2	15:6	9	23
15	Leones	11	2	4	5	8:17	-9	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones FC
Colombian Primera B
21.02.26	Real Cartagena - Leones	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Leones - Unión Magdalena	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Real Cundinamarca - Leones	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Leones - Bogotá	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Deportes Quindío - Leones	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLLTL
- Independiente Valle del Cauca
Colombian Primera B
23.02.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Real Santander	1:1 ✺
16.02.26	Tigres - Independiente Valle del Cauca	1:3 ✺
09.02.26	Deportes Quindío - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Envigado - Independiente Valle del Cauca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTTL

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