Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Raúl Miranda (Cali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Independiente Valle del Cauca		Bogotá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.3	4.2
	1.65	3.45	5.15	Watch
	1.67	3.59	5.4
	1.67	3.49	5.39	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.68	3.52	5.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.92)	3.44 ↑ (3.37)	5.07 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Valle del Cauca
55.1%

Draw
26.7%

Bogotá
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.5%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.3%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Valle del Cauca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Valle del Cauca's performance.

Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bogotá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Valle del Cauca than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Valle del Cauca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bogotá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Independiente Valle del Cauca - Bogotá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mendez J. (G) 27. Ampudia J. 5. Diaz J. 8. Diaz T. 11. Farias L. 3. Ferrer D. 31. Murillo J. 14. Ordonez J. 21. Rodriguez J. 16. Villa D. 18. Vivas O.	29. Aguilar A. (G) 14. Alfonso A. 10. Castro B. 6. Castro K. 3. Diaz S. 32. Gutierrez A. 13. Moreno Abadia J. C. 7. Mosquera C. 33. Perez J. 5. Sanchez J. (C) 11. Sandoval Lasso H.
Substitutes
20. Alegria J. 34. De Arco H. 7. Hernandez S. 30. Manyoma Cordoba J. E. 17. Mena H. 12. Mena L. (G) 15. Perdomo J. 32. Rubiano J. 19. Sequeda Arroyo M.	36. Canizalez S. 99. Castillo D. 18. Cuero B. 2. Hinestroza L. 16. Jefferson R. 15. Malagon J. P. 1. Osorno J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Diaz T. ⚽,
37', Villa D. 🟨,
41', Sandoval Lasso H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vivas O. ↓, Perdomo J. ↑,
46', Rodriguez J. ↓, De Arco H. ↑,
57', Castro B. ↓, Canizalez S. ↑,
57', Diaz S. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
66', 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Ampudia J. (Own goal),
69', Villa D. ↓, Alegria J. ↑,
71', Alegria J. 🟨,
76', Diaz T. ↓, Sequeda Arroyo M. ↑,
81', Villa D. ↓, Hernandez S. ↑,
84', 🟨,
89', Diaz J. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ))

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Independiente Yumbo is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ind. Valle del Cauca	11	7	2	2	15:6	9	23
12	Bogota	11	3	3	5	9:13	-4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Valle del Cauca
Colombian Primera B
27.02.26	Leones - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Real Santander	1:1 ✺
16.02.26	Tigres - Independiente Valle del Cauca	1:3 ✺
09.02.26	Deportes Quindío - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTWTT
- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
27.02.26	Bogotá - Atlético Cali	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Bogotá - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Patriotas - Bogotá	0:1 ✺
09.02.26	Bogotá - Real Cartagena	0:1 ✺
05.02.26	Leones - Bogotá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 WWWLT

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