The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Valle del Cauca 47.1%
Draw 29.3%
Orsomarso 23.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34%
29.8%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
29.7%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Valle del Cauca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Valle del Cauca's performance.
Orsomarso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orsomarso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Valle del Cauca than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Valle del Cauca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orsomarso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
50%
16.7%
Independiente Valle del Cauca - Orsomarso Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ind Valle del Cauca will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Orsomarso will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Mendez J. (G) 27. Ampudia J. 8. Diaz T. 9. Garcia A. 2. Lozano J. 6. Moreyra H. 29. Palacios J. 25. Pena F. 17. Quinonez L. 4. Rodriguez J. 20. Rubiano J.
1. Grisales J. (G) 6. Agamez S. 13. Barreiro J. 5. Barrios D. 16. Benitez Hernandez R. A. 7. Caicedo B. 24. Campaz B. 15. Gomez K. M. 26. Gonzalez S. 8. Munoz J. 32. Ruiz M.
Substitutes
16. De Arco H. 5. Diaz J. 11. Farias L. 3. Ferrer D. 26. Lopez W. 7. Mena H. 12. Mena L. (G) 15. Perdomo J. 21. Rodriguez J.
9. Arrechea S. 27. Contreras J. 30. Cossio C. (G) 17. Hernandez J. 22. Matamba D. 10. Ruiz A. 28. Valencia Y. 18. Valoyes Y. 25. Villarreal J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Ampudia J. 🟨,
28', Garcia A. ↓, Farias L. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Farias L. ⚽,
39', Barreiro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
48', Lozano J. 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Pena F. ⚽,
58', Barreiro J. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
59', Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↓, Arrechea S. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Caicedo B. ⚽,
66', Rubiano J. ↓, Ferrer D. ↑,
66', Pena F. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
67', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
74', Agamez S. 🟨,
75', 3 - 1, Farias L. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Palacios J. ↓, Mena H. ↑,
79', 4 - 1, Mena H. ⚽,
81', Ampudia J. ↓, De Arco H. ↑,
81', Moreyra H. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
83', 4 - 2, Barrios D. ⚽,
86', 🟨,
89', 4 - 3, Arrechea S. ⚽,
90+2', Gonzalez S. ↓, Villarreal J. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 13th).
Ind Valle del Cauca is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Orsomarso has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Orsomarso has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ind Valle del Cauca holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Ind Valle del Cauca has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Ind. Valle del Cauca ✔
14
8
4
2
20:8
12
28
14
Orsomarso
14
3
5
6
9:13
-4
14
Last Results with these Odds
Orsomarso - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.11%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
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Mendez J. (G) 
Moreyra H. 
Quinonez L. 
