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Current Win Probability
Real Santander 40.9%
Draw 30.1%
Orsomarso 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.2%
28.8%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.2%
25.8%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Santander's performance.
Orsomarso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orsomarso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Santander that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orsomarso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Real Santander - Orsomarso Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Real Santander will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Orsomarso will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lazaro J. (G) 15. Ararat J. 29. Carrasco J. 37. Delgado J. 11. Diaz M. (C) 3. Duran C. 5. Holguin J. 23. Moreno B. 26. Roman B. 25. Segura A. 31. Tapia D.
1. Blanco I. (G) 6. Agamez S. 5. Barrios D. 16. Benitez Hernandez R. A. 7. Caicedo B. 24. Campaz B. 15. Gomez K. M. 26. Gonzalez S. 8. Munoz J. 32. Ruiz M. 14. Zarante
Substitutes
21. Almeida V. 36. Ayala J. 13. Caicedo L. 14. Garcia Habib J. P. 42. Misatt D. 30. Perez J. 22. Ramos Y. (G) 24. Rangel L. 20. Salas H.
9. Arrechea S. 27. Contreras J. 12. Grisales J. (G) 17. Hernandez J. 22. Matamba D. 25. Villarreal J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
42', Campaz B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Campaz B. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
55', Roman B. 🟨,
71', Segura A. ↓, Almeida V. ↑,
71', Delgado J. ↓, Salas H. ↑,
79', Munoz J. ↓, Arrechea S. ↑,
79', Gonzalez S. ↓, Villarreal J. ↑,
79', Ruiz M. ↓, Matamba D. ↑,
87', Ararat J. 🟨,
90', Perez J. 🟨,
90+2', Roman B. ↓, Ayala J. ↑,
90+2', Carrasco J. ↓, Misatt D. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 0.
Real Santander has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Orsomarso has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Real Santander could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Orsomarso has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Real Santander has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:22 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real Santander against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:4 goals (averaging 1.1:0.6 per game).
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