Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata (Barrancabermeja)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Orsomarso		Real Cartagena

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.90	3.00	2.20
	3	3	2.28	Watch
	3.08	3.2	2.38
	3.03	3.11	2.39	Watch
	2.95	3	2.3
	3.02	2.98	2.31	Watch
	2.95	3	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)	2.3 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Orsomarso
30.5%

Draw
29.9%

Real Cartagena
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orsomarso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Orsomarso - Real Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Orsomarso will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Real Cartagena will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Blanco I. (G) 6. Agamez S. 16. Arrechea S. 13. Barreiro J. 5. Barrios D. 27. Benitez Hernandez R. A. 7. Caicedo B. 24. Campaz B. 14. Contreras J. 4. Lasso M. 25. Villareal A.	1. Montes A. (G) 17. Aleman J. 7. Barrera J. 25. De Las Salas C. 80. Lopez E. 23. Lora R. 10. Montero F. 28. Paternina C. 16. Pineda J. 13. Rios J. 24. Tegue G.
Substitutes
15. Gomez K. M. 26. Gonzalez S. 1. Grisales J. (G) 29. Martinez S. 8. Munoz J. 10. Ruiz A. 32. Ruiz M. 23. Sanchez M. . Zarante	33. Balanta M. 6. Escobar A. 18. Gallego J. P. 22. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 9. Manotas M. 14. Pino D. 21. Rodriguez J. 20. Taffur L. 11. Yanes L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Montero F. (Penalty Awarded),
35', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lora R. ↓, Balanta M. ↑,
54', 🟨,
55', 🟨,
56', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 0.

Real Cartagena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real Cartagena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Real Cartagena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Orsomarso won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cartagena	11	4	3	4	19:14	5	15
14	Orsomarso	11	2	4	5	7:11	-4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Real Cartagena - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 43.96%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orsomarso SC
Colombian Primera B
24.08.26	Orsomarso - Real Cundinamarca	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Patriotas - Orsomarso	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Unión Magdalena - Orsomarso	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Orsomarso - Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
20.05.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Orsomarso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WTTWT
- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
29.08.26	Real Cartagena - Tigres	0:3 ✺
24.08.26	Leones - Real Cartagena	1:6 ✺
20.08.26	Real Cartagena - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Real Cartagena - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Real Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
06.03.26	Real Cartagena - Orsomarso	4:0
21.09.25	Real Cartagena - Orsomarso	3:1
11.04.25	Orsomarso - Real Cartagena	1:2
23.11.24	Orsomarso - Real Cartagena	0:1
30.10.24	Real Cartagena - Orsomarso	2:1
14.10.24	Orsomarso - Real Cartagena	1:0
10.06.24	Real Cartagena - Orsomarso	2:0

Upcoming Matches