Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 9 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN


	Independiente del Valle		Deportivo Pereira

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	10	Watch
	1.39	4.4	8.25
	1.38	4.7	8.5
	1.39	4.69	9.65
	1.3	4.4	7.5
	1.38	4.7	8.3	Watch
	1.37	4.6	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.5)	4.57 ↑ (4.02)	8.63 ↑ (6.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
68.7%

Draw
20.5%

Deportivo Pereira
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

23.3%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

23.1%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente del Valle's performance.

Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente del Valle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	10.5%	10.5%

Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Pereira Predictions

Users Predictions: Independiente del Valle will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramirez M. (G) 13. Fernandez M. 14. Carabajal M. 80. Ortiz J. 15. Caicedo B. 55. Paez K. 16. Pellerano C. (C) 8. Faravelli L. 11. Hoyos M. 19. Diaz L. 10. Sornoza J.	1. Quintana A. (G) 2. Garces Torres C. E. 14. Juan Quintero 29. Ramirez C. 16. Moreno Gomez E. A. 13. Zuluaga J. 25. Vasquez J. (C) 8. Angulo L. 27. Fory J. 9. Rodriguez A. 30. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
7. Alcivar J. 31. Cabezas E. 17. Cortez G. 21. Delgado P. 2. Garcia A. 4. Landazuri A. 18. Marcelo Moreno 54. Mercado P. 9. Rodriguez K. 6. Sanchez C. 58. Sosa J. 12. Villa A. (G)	20. Ararat J. 19. Congo Y. 3. Hernandez D. 11. Johan Bocanegra 18. Medina M. 32. Mena J. 24. Moreno Abadia J. C. 12. Mosquera F. (G) 23. Murillo D. 38. Murillo E. 5. Perea G. 26. Suarez Y.
Coaches
Anselmi M.	Restrepo A.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Independiente del Valle has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pereira is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pereira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Independiente del Valle have a series of guest games.

In this match Independiente del Valle is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Pereira to win the game is with odds 8.71.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Independiente del Valle won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.08.23	Mushuc Runa - Independiente del Valle	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.08.23	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente del Valle	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Getafe - Independiente del Valle	2:1 ✺
Club Challenge
19.07.23	Sevilla - Independiente del Valle	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Orlando Pirates - Independiente del Valle	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Primera A
05.08.23	Deportivo Pereira - Boyacá Chicó	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.08.23	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente del Valle	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
30.07.23	Atlético Huila - Deportivo Pereira	2:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
26.07.23	Tigres - Deportivo Pereira	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
22.07.23	Millonarios - Deportivo Pereira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
02.08.23	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente del Valle	1:0

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