The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente del Valle 52.9%
Draw 25.2%
LDU Quito 21.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.7%
25.8%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.6%
25.3%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Recently, LDU Quito has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Ind del Valle carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ind del Valle has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:24 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ind del Valle against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:10 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).
Standings
Championship Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Ind. del Valle
33
25
3
5
75:35
40
78
4
LDU Quito
34
15
8
11
37:29
8
53
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente del Valle - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.65%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.