Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 9

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito)

Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Independiente del Valle		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.5	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.35	3.8	Watch
	1.94	3.4	4.25
	1.83	3.49	4.33	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.7
	1.9	3.5	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.72)	3.39 ↓ (3.72)	3.98 ↓ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
49.3%

Draw
27.4%

LDU Quito
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

25.1%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

24.6%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quintana A. (G) 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 14. Carabajal M. 23. Viacava J. 19. Loor L. 6. Alcivar J. 11. Perello M. 10. Sornoza J. (C) 16. Briones R. 9. Gonzalez C. 17. Rodriguez A.	1. Valle G. (G) 14. Quintero J. (C) 3. Mina R. 44. Segovia L. 33. Quinonez L. 15. Villamil G. 8. Pretell J. 13. Corozo J. 20. Cornejo F. 23. Quinonez Y. 16. Deyverson
Substitutes
50. Angulo J. 12. Bores E. (G) 15. Cortez G. 4. Espinoza J. 55. Guagua D. 53. Lerma J. 32. Mendez J. 8. Ochoa Y. 31. Pata E. 99. Reasco D. 33. Velasco A.	30. Allala Menendez G. F. 10. Alvarado A. 26. Caicedo J. 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 31. de la Cruz D. I. 22. Dominguez A. (G) 11. Estrada M. 99. Luna Tobar C. 9. Medina J. 5. Minda K. 25. Ortiz P. 7. Redes R.
Coaches
Papa J.	Tiago Nunes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Pretell J. ⚽, Quinonez Y. (A),
7', Quintero J. 🟨,
38', Cornejo F. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
42', Sornoza J. 🟨,
42', Pretell J. 🟨,
43', Mina R. ↓, Allala Menendez G. F. ↑,
43', Minda K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Deyverson ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
49', Segovia L. 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Corozo J. ⚽, Estrada M. (A),
63', Quinonez Y. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
63', Pretell J. ↓, Luna Tobar C. ↑,
65', Rodriguez A. ↓, Pata E. ↑,
71', Briones R. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
81', Romero Padilla D. A. ↓, Guagua D. ↑,
81', Perello M. ↓, Reasco D. ↑,
90+1', Estrada M. 🟨,
90+3', Angulo J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 1.

Ind del Valle has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, LDU Quito has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

LDU Quito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ind del Valle is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	40	74
5	LDU Quito	31	14	7	10	33:25	8	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Copa Libertadores
15.04.26	Independiente del Valle - Universidad Central	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.04.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.26	Rosario Central - Independiente del Valle	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.04.26	Independiente del Valle - Orense	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWTWW
- LDU Quito
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	LDU Quito - Mirassol	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.04.26	Delfín - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.04.26	Always Ready - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.04.26	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	LDU Quito - Manta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.12.25	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	0:0
28.11.25	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	2:1
22.06.25	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	1:1
22.02.25	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	1:1
14.12.24	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	1:0
07.12.24	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	3:0
09.11.24	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	2:1

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