Match Info

ASIA: World Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Round 5

Date: 15 November 2024, Friday

Location: Gelora Bung Karno Madya Stadium (Jakarta)

Referee: Bonyadifard M. (Irn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, RTHK TV 32
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	GTV, K-Vision, RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	ESPN
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
Pakistan	Tapmad
Qatar	Al Kass Five, Shoof
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Vietnam	K+
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Indonesia		Japan

	1	X	2
	13	5.75	1.22	Watch
	11.5	6.5	1.22
	13	6	1.22	Watch
	14.74	6.42	1.21
	12.95	5.3	1.25	Watch
	11	5.8	1.22	Watch
	12	6.4	1.23	Watch
	13	6	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.65 ↓ (20)	6.02 ↓ (7.98)	1.22 ↑ (1.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indonesia
7.4%

Draw
15.6%

Japan
76.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

4.7%

11.8%

83.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indonesia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Japan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	0%	94.7%

Indonesia - Japan Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Indonesia will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Japan will win (votes: 18 - 94.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Japan: 84.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paes M. (G) FC Dallas 2. Diks K. FC Copenhagen 5. Ridho R. Persija Jakarta 3. Idzes J. (C) Venezia 17. Verdonk C. Nijmegen 23. Hubner J. Wolves 19. Haye T. Almere City 22. Tjoe a On N. Swansea 14. Sayuri Y. Malut United 11. Oratmangoen R. Dender 9. Struick R. Brisbane Roar	1. Suzuki Z. (G) Parma 4. Itakura K. B. Monchengladbach 16. Machida K. Royale Union SG 3. Hashioka D. Luton 10. Doan R. Freiburg 6. Endo W. (C) Liverpool 5. Morita H. Sporting Lisbon 7. Mitoma K. Brighton 8. Minamino T. Monaco 15. Kamada D. Crystal Palace 19. Ogawa K. Nijmegen
Substitutes
4. Amat J. Johor DT 16. Argawinata N. (G) Borneo 12. Arhan P. Suwon FC 18. Caraka H. PSS Sleman 13. Ferarri M. Persija Jakarta 7. Ferdinan M. Oxford Utd 15. Kambuaya R. Dewa United 20. Pattynama S. Eupen 21. Riyandi M. (G) Persis Solo 10. Vikri E. Dewa United 6. Walsh S. KV Mechelen 8. Witan Persija Jakarta	9. Furuhashi K. Celtic 21. Hatate R. Celtic 14. Ito J. Reims 20. Kubo T. Real Sociedad 11. Maeda D. Celtic 13. Nakamura K. Reims 18. Ohashi Y. Blackburn 12. Osako K. (G) Sanfrecce Hiroshima 22. Seko A. Grasshoppers 2. Sugawara Y. Southampton 17. Tanaka A. Leeds 23. Tani K. (G) Machida Zelvia
Coaches
Shin Tae-Yong	Moriyasu H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', Mitoma K. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Hubner J. (Own goal),
40', 0 - 2, Minamino T. ⚽, Mitoma K. (A),
41', Diks K. ↓, Walsh S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Minamino T. ↓, Maeda D. ↑,
49', 0 - 3, Morita H. ⚽,
62', Doan R. ↓, Sugawara Y. ↑,
62', Mitoma K. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
62', Sayuri Y. ↓, Arhan P. ↑,
69', 0 - 4, Sugawara Y. ⚽,
75', Tjoe a On N. ↓, Ferdinan M. ↑,
76', Haye T. ↓, Amat J. ↑,
76', Oratmangoen R. ↓, Witan ↑,
79', Kamada D. ↓, Hatate R. ↑,
80', Ogawa K. ↓, Ohashi Y. ↑,

Preview

In this match Japan is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Indonesia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indonesia
FIFA World Cup
15.10.24	China - Indonesia	2:1 ✺
10.10.24	Bahrain - Indonesia	2:2 ✺
10.09.24	Indonesia - Australia	0:0 ✺
05.09.24	Saudi Arabia - Indonesia	1:1 ✺
11.06.24	Indonesia - Philippines	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.3 LTTTW
- Japan
FIFA World Cup
15.10.24	Japan - Australia	1:1 ✺
10.10.24	Saudi Arabia - Japan	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Bahrain - Japan	0:5 ✺
05.09.24	Japan - China	7:0 ✺
11.06.24	Japan - Syria	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup
24.01.24	Japan - Indonesia	3:1

Indonesia - Japan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide