Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Referee: Thompson M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Indy Eleven		Pittsburgh Riverhounds

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.42	3.15	2.78
	2.58	3.25	2.82
	2.55	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.7
	2.44	3.29	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.23)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	2.77 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
37.2%

Draw
29.4%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.7%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

29.8%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Indy Eleven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dick E. (G) 2. White H. 4. Herbert A. 37. Craig P. 14. Quinn A. (C) 5. O'Brien J. 6. Lindley C. 8. Blake J. 18. Okello N. 90. Mesanvi L. 27. Rendon B.	1. Campuzano N. (G) 6. Mikoy O. 4. Kelp L. 5. Souza V. 3. Barnes P. 15. Sample B. 2. Griffin D. (C) 8. Etou B. 19. Bassett S. 10. Ahl C. 9. Dikwa A.
Substitutes
39. Barry H. 23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 19. Kizza E. 17. Neidlinger L. 21. Rasheed M. 20. Sing D. 24. Thomas M.	22. Agostoni W. 7. Amann T. 20. Budler M. (G) 27. Flowers-Gamboa A. 37. Goldthorp E. 14. Mertz R. 28. Osumanu I. 13. Viera M. 42. Walti J.
Coaches
McAuley S.	Vincent R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Blake J. (Penalty Awarded),
36', Souza V. 🟨,
39', Rendon B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', Etou B. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
74', Okello N. 🟨,
77', Sample B. ↓, Mertz R. ↑,
82', Blake J. ↓, Sing D. ↑,
82', Barnes P. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Goldthorp E. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 2.

In recent matches, Indy has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pittsburgh is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Indy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Indy won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
US Open Cup
31.03.26	Indy Eleven - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Hartford Athletic - Indy Eleven	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Indy Eleven - Detroit City	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
17.03.26	Indy Eleven - Des Moines Menace	3:0 ✺
USL Championship
08.03.26	Brooklyn - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWWL
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
US Open Cup
31.03.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Virginia Dream	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Sporting Jacksonville	3:2 ✺
US Open Cup
25.03.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Steel City	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
21.03.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Loudoun United - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.02.26	Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:3
USL Championship
11.10.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Indy Eleven	2:1
14.06.25	Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0
31.08.24	Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1
01.06.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Indy Eleven	1:2
26.07.23	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Indy Eleven	1:3
29.04.23	Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1

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