Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Indy Eleven		Union Omaha

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.45	3.55
	1.84	3.64	3.64
	1.82	3.73	3.69	Watch
	1.8	3.3	3.7
	1.79	3.5	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.53)	3.52 ↓ (4.13)	3.7 ↓ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
49.8%

Draw
25.7%

Union Omaha
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

22.3%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

21.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Indy Eleven's form might have worsened.

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Union Omaha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Indy Eleven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Union Omaha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Indy Eleven - Union Omaha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 17. Neidlinger L. 4. Herbert A. 37. Craig P. 14. Quinn A. (C) 6. Lindley C. 27. Rendon B. 5. O'Brien J. 8. Blake J. 90. Mesanvi L. 18. Okello N.	24. Nuhu R. (C) 23. Boudadi Y. 4. Owusu S. 14. Kallman B. 6. Guediri S. 15. Knapp B. 8. Gabriel Cabral 11. Borczak D. 17. Gutierrez D. 27. Jiba R. 9. Botello Faz P.
Substitutes
39. Barry H. 1. Dick E. (G) 19. Kizza E. 21. Rasheed M. 20. Sing D. 24. Thomas M.	7. Billhardt A. 21. Gomez A. 99. Jensen C. (G) 19. Lawrence C. 3. Malone B. 22. Tekiela K. 16. Wootton L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', Gabriel Cabral 🟨,
39', Lindley C. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Botello Faz P. ⚽, Borczak D. (A),
45+2', Quinn A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 0 - 2, Borczak D. ⚽, Gabriel Cabral (A),
64', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
65', Craig P. ↓, Rasheed M. ↑,
65', Herbert A. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
65', Okello N. ↓, Sing D. ↑,
65', Lindley C. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
72', Guediri S. ↓, Tekiela K. ↑,
72', Gutierrez D. ↓, Lawrence C. ↑,
78', Mesanvi L. ↓, Thomas M. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Rendon B. ⚽,
87', Knapp B. ↓, Wootton L. ↑,
87', Borczak D. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Union Omaha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Union Omaha has had a series of away games.

In this match, Indy is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Indy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Indy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
19.04.26	Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
31.03.26	Indy Eleven - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Hartford Athletic - Indy Eleven	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWTLT
- Union Omaha
USL League One
18.04.26	Richmond Kickers - Union Omaha	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
14.04.26	Colorado Rapids - Union Omaha	1:0 ✺
USL League One
11.04.26	Union Omaha - Forward Madison	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	AV Alta - Union Omaha	1:3 ✺
US Open Cup
31.03.26	Indy Eleven - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

US Open Cup
31.03.26	Indy Eleven - Union Omaha	1:2

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